Recent provincial polling in Álava, including the Basque government's Sociómetro and ElectoralLab estimates updated through early November 2026, shows PSOE maintaining a lead in vote intention at roughly 25-28%, ahead of EH Bildu, PP, and PNV. With four seats allocated via the D'Hondt method, these surveys project one seat each for PSOE, EH Bildu, PP, and PNV, consistent with 2023 results and stable over the past month. PNV support has declined notably in the territory while indecision remains elevated at over 30%. Traders appear to price PSOE as the consensus favorite for the provincial plurality amid these indicators ahead of the November 29 general election.