Trader consensus on Polymarket's Services Down Parlay market implies a 96.9% probability for "No," driven by the March 31, 2026, deadline passing without all required disruptions across AWS, Discord, and Cloudflare. While Discord reported a major outage on March 9 classified as critical, AWS experienced an early-month cloud failure that fell short of the "disrupted" severity on its Health Dashboard, and Cloudflare logged only scheduled maintenance in Seoul without any resolved critical incidents. Absent synchronized severe outages—a rare tail-risk event—the market reflects strong confidence in platform reliability and robust incident management. Realistic shifts could stem from post-deadline severity reclassifications or overlooked status page revisions, though official sources show no such activity in the past 19 days.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоServices Down Parlay
Services Down Parlay
$14,049 Обс.
$14,049 Обс.
Mar 31, 2026
$14,049 Обс.
$14,049 Обс.
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket's Services Down Parlay market implies a 96.9% probability for "No," driven by the March 31, 2026, deadline passing without all required disruptions across AWS, Discord, and Cloudflare. While Discord reported a major outage on March 9 classified as critical, AWS experienced an early-month cloud failure that fell short of the "disrupted" severity on its Health Dashboard, and Cloudflare logged only scheduled maintenance in Seoul without any resolved critical incidents. Absent synchronized severe outages—a rare tail-risk event—the market reflects strong confidence in platform reliability and robust incident management. Realistic shifts could stem from post-deadline severity reclassifications or overlooked status page revisions, though official sources show no such activity in the past 19 days.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
Ринок відкрито: Feb 11, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Обсяг
$14,049Дата завершення
Mar 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 11, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket's Services Down Parlay market implies a 96.9% probability for "No," driven by the March 31, 2026, deadline passing without all required disruptions across AWS, Discord, and Cloudflare. While Discord reported a major outage on March 9 classified as critical, AWS experienced an early-month cloud failure that fell short of the "disrupted" severity on its Health Dashboard, and Cloudflare logged only scheduled maintenance in Seoul without any resolved critical incidents. Absent synchronized severe outages—a rare tail-risk event—the market reflects strong confidence in platform reliability and robust incident management. Realistic shifts could stem from post-deadline severity reclassifications or overlooked status page revisions, though official sources show no such activity in the past 19 days.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
Обсяг
$14,049Дата завершення
Mar 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 11, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Services Down Parlay market implies a 96.9% probability for "No," driven by the March 31, 2026, deadline passing without all required disruptions across AWS, Discord, and Cloudflare. While Discord reported a major outage on March 9 classified as critical, AWS experienced an early-month cloud failure that fell short of the "disrupted" severity on its Health Dashboard, and Cloudflare logged only scheduled maintenance in Seoul without any resolved critical incidents. Absent synchronized severe outages—a rare tail-risk event—the market reflects strong confidence in platform reliability and robust incident management. Realistic shifts could stem from post-deadline severity reclassifications or overlooked status page revisions, though official sources show no such activity in the past 19 days.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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