Anthropic's Claude variants currently top Text Arena math leaderboards with Elo scores above 1520, reflecting strong multi-step reasoning gains from recent releases like Claude Fable 5 and Opus 4 series. This positions OpenAI's GPT-5.5 family and Google's Gemini 3 models as primary challengers for second place, supported by high MATH benchmark accuracy near 95% and competitive FrontierMath results. Chinese labs including Z.ai (GLM-5), Moonshot (Kimi), Alibaba (Qwen3), and DeepSeek maintain tight positioning through cost-efficient open-weight releases and targeted math optimizations, creating closely matched trader odds. Key swing factors include any October model updates or benchmark shifts before resolution, as frontier math performance remains highly sensitive to incremental architecture and training advances.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоSecond-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Google 34%
OpenAI 32%
Anthropic 23%
Alibaba 3.8%
$55,718 Обс.
$55,718 Обс.
Oct 31, 2026
34%
OpenAI
32%
Anthropic
23%
Alibaba
4%
Baidu
2%
Moonshot
1%
Z.ai
1%
DeepSeek
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Meta
1%
Xiaomi
1%
Meituan
1%
ByteDance
1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Google 34%
OpenAI 32%
Anthropic 23%
Alibaba 3.8%
$55,718 Обс.
$55,718 Обс.
Oct 31, 2026
$33,212 Обс.
34%
OpenAI
$5,342 Обс.
32%
Anthropic
$5,427 Обс.
23%
Alibaba
$1,401 Обс.
4%
Baidu
$658 Обс.
2%
Moonshot
$651 Обс.
1%
Z.ai
$749 Обс.
1%
DeepSeek
$666 Обс.
1%
SpaceXAI
$648 Обс.
1%
Meta
$641 Обс.
1%
Xiaomi
$608 Обс.
1%
Meituan
$959 Обс.
1%
ByteDance
$676 Обс.
1%
StepFun
$662 Обс.
<1%
Microsoft
$817 Обс.
<1%
Amazon
$702 Обс.
<1%
Tencent
$671 Обс.
<1%
Nvidia
$521 Обс.
<1%
MiniMax
$370 Обс.
<1%
Mistral
$336 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's Claude variants currently top Text Arena math leaderboards with Elo scores above 1520, reflecting strong multi-step reasoning gains from recent releases like Claude Fable 5 and Opus 4 series. This positions OpenAI's GPT-5.5 family and Google's Gemini 3 models as primary challengers for second place, supported by high MATH benchmark accuracy near 95% and competitive FrontierMath results. Chinese labs including Z.ai (GLM-5), Moonshot (Kimi), Alibaba (Qwen3), and DeepSeek maintain tight positioning through cost-efficient open-weight releases and targeted math optimizations, creating closely matched trader odds. Key swing factors include any October model updates or benchmark shifts before resolution, as frontier math performance remains highly sensitive to incremental architecture and training advances.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Обсяг
$55,718Дата завершення
Nov 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's Claude variants currently top Text Arena math leaderboards with Elo scores above 1520, reflecting strong multi-step reasoning gains from recent releases like Claude Fable 5 and Opus 4 series. This positions OpenAI's GPT-5.5 family and Google's Gemini 3 models as primary challengers for second place, supported by high MATH benchmark accuracy near 95% and competitive FrontierMath results. Chinese labs including Z.ai (GLM-5), Moonshot (Kimi), Alibaba (Qwen3), and DeepSeek maintain tight positioning through cost-efficient open-weight releases and targeted math optimizations, creating closely matched trader odds. Key swing factors include any October model updates or benchmark shifts before resolution, as frontier math performance remains highly sensitive to incremental architecture and training advances.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Обсяг
$55,718Дата завершення
Nov 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's Claude variants currently top Text Arena math leaderboards with Elo scores above 1520, reflecting strong multi-step reasoning gains from recent releases like Claude Fable 5 and Opus 4 series. This positions OpenAI's GPT-5.5 family and Google's Gemini 3 models as primary challengers for second place, supported by high MATH benchmark accuracy near 95% and competitive FrontierMath results. Chinese labs including Z.ai (GLM-5), Moonshot (Kimi), Alibaba (Qwen3), and DeepSeek maintain tight positioning through cost-efficient open-weight releases and targeted math optimizations, creating closely matched trader odds. Key swing factors include any October model updates or benchmark shifts before resolution, as frontier math performance remains highly sensitive to incremental architecture and training advances.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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