United Russia holds dominant institutional advantages ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma and regional legislative elections, including top ballot positions in over half of the 39 regions holding parliamentary votes and full candidate slates in all single-member districts. Centralized candidate selection, administrative resources, multi-day and electronic voting procedures, and prior-year regional results—where the party secured majorities or pluralities in nearly all assemblies—underpin trader assessments of its ability to lead party-list vote shares everywhere. Recent primaries emphasized renewal while maintaining loyalist priorities, and opposition parties face registration barriers and limited competition. The 63.5% implied probability for winning every region incorporates these structural factors alongside modest polling declines and isolated competitive areas such as Altai Krai.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено64% шанс
$314,667 Обс.
$314,667 Обс.
Sep 20, 2026
64% шанс
$314,667 Обс.
$314,667 Обс.
Sep 20, 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia holds dominant institutional advantages ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma and regional legislative elections, including top ballot positions in over half of the 39 regions holding parliamentary votes and full candidate slates in all single-member districts. Centralized candidate selection, administrative resources, multi-day and electronic voting procedures, and prior-year regional results—where the party secured majorities or pluralities in nearly all assemblies—underpin trader assessments of its ability to lead party-list vote shares everywhere. Recent primaries emphasized renewal while maintaining loyalist priorities, and opposition parties face registration barriers and limited competition. The 63.5% implied probability for winning every region incorporates these structural factors alongside modest polling declines and isolated competitive areas such as Altai Krai.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ET
Обсяг
$314,667Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia holds dominant institutional advantages ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma and regional legislative elections, including top ballot positions in over half of the 39 regions holding parliamentary votes and full candidate slates in all single-member districts. Centralized candidate selection, administrative resources, multi-day and electronic voting procedures, and prior-year regional results—where the party secured majorities or pluralities in nearly all assemblies—underpin trader assessments of its ability to lead party-list vote shares everywhere. Recent primaries emphasized renewal while maintaining loyalist priorities, and opposition parties face registration barriers and limited competition. The 63.5% implied probability for winning every region incorporates these structural factors alongside modest polling declines and isolated competitive areas such as Altai Krai.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Обсяг
$314,667Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...United Russia holds dominant institutional advantages ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma and regional legislative elections, including top ballot positions in over half of the 39 regions holding parliamentary votes and full candidate slates in all single-member districts. Centralized candidate selection, administrative resources, multi-day and electronic voting procedures, and prior-year regional results—where the party secured majorities or pluralities in nearly all assemblies—underpin trader assessments of its ability to lead party-list vote shares everywhere. Recent primaries emphasized renewal while maintaining loyalist priorities, and opposition parties face registration barriers and limited competition. The 63.5% implied probability for winning every region incorporates these structural factors alongside modest polling declines and isolated competitive areas such as Altai Krai.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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