**RFK Jr. serves as HHS Secretary with sustained backing from President Trump, who has endorsed his Make America Healthy Again priorities and recently loosened messaging controls to position him as a visible surrogate for Republican midterm efforts.** Recent reporting highlights administration statements affirming commitment to keeping Kennedy in office, alongside his ongoing leadership of agency reorganizations, policy implementation, and public appearances through mid-October 2026. Trader consensus at 96.7% against departure by October 31 reflects this alignment and the absence of any credible signals of imminent resignation or removal. Low-probability scenarios that could still shift the outcome include a sudden health event, major undisclosed scandal, or abrupt policy rupture prompting an announcement in the remaining weeks.