Incumbent Dan Meuser holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 9th Congressional District race due to the area’s consistent Republican tilt, reflected in Trump’s double-digit margins in recent presidential elections and the seat’s Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Meuser, serving since 2019 and re-elected with over 70 percent in 2024, faced no primary opposition in May 2026, while Democrat Rachel Wallace, a Pottsville native with federal government experience, also ran unopposed but trails significantly in overall fundraising. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus aligns with historical voting patterns and limited competitive indicators. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an extreme national Democratic wave exceeding historical norms in this R+19 district.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоPA-09 House Election Winner
PA-09 House Election Winner
$22,210 Обс.
$22,210 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Dan Meuser (R)
96%
Rachel Wallace (D)
4%
$22,210 Обс.
$22,210 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Dan Meuser (R)
$14,388 Обс.
96%
Rachel Wallace (D)
$7,822 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Dan Meuser holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 9th Congressional District race due to the area’s consistent Republican tilt, reflected in Trump’s double-digit margins in recent presidential elections and the seat’s Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Meuser, serving since 2019 and re-elected with over 70 percent in 2024, faced no primary opposition in May 2026, while Democrat Rachel Wallace, a Pottsville native with federal government experience, also ran unopposed but trails significantly in overall fundraising. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus aligns with historical voting patterns and limited competitive indicators. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an extreme national Democratic wave exceeding historical norms in this R+19 district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$22,210Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Dan Meuser holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 9th Congressional District race due to the area’s consistent Republican tilt, reflected in Trump’s double-digit margins in recent presidential elections and the seat’s Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Meuser, serving since 2019 and re-elected with over 70 percent in 2024, faced no primary opposition in May 2026, while Democrat Rachel Wallace, a Pottsville native with federal government experience, also ran unopposed but trails significantly in overall fundraising. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus aligns with historical voting patterns and limited competitive indicators. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an extreme national Democratic wave exceeding historical norms in this R+19 district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$22,210Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Dan Meuser holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 9th Congressional District race due to the area’s consistent Republican tilt, reflected in Trump’s double-digit margins in recent presidential elections and the seat’s Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Meuser, serving since 2019 and re-elected with over 70 percent in 2024, faced no primary opposition in May 2026, while Democrat Rachel Wallace, a Pottsville native with federal government experience, also ran unopposed but trails significantly in overall fundraising. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus aligns with historical voting patterns and limited competitive indicators. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an extreme national Democratic wave exceeding historical norms in this R+19 district.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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