Recent polling in Pennsylvania’s 7th Congressional District shows Democrat Bob Brooks holding a narrow lead over Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie, with a Franklin & Marshall survey from mid-September placing Brooks ahead 45-40 percent among registered voters and wider among independents and likely voters. Mackenzie captured the seat by roughly half a point in 2024, but the Lehigh Valley district’s competitiveness, combined with voter economic concerns and lower presidential approval ratings, has shifted trader consensus toward the Democratic challenger. Brooks consolidated party support after winning a contested May primary, while fundraising and national House battleground dynamics reinforce the current implied probabilities ahead of the November 3 general election.