Nvidia’s current ~$5.3 trillion market cap and the closely bunched Polymarket odds around $5.5–6.5 trillion by year-end reflect sustained AI data-center demand, highlighted by the company’s August earnings beat with $96 billion in quarterly revenue and 70% growth guidance for fiscal 2028. Traders are weighing Nvidia’s full-stack momentum—Vera Rubin platform shipments now underway, NVLink Fusion for custom chips, and expanding revenue per gigawatt of AI-factory capacity—against rising competition from hyperscaler ASICs at Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta plus AMD’s MI300/MI350 GPUs. Supply constraints, China export restrictions, and questions over whether hyperscaler capex can reach the projected $800 billion this year and $1.3 trillion next continue to cap upside bets while supporting the balanced distribution across mid-to-high trillion-dollar outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$5.50-$6.00T 24%
$6.50T+ 22%
$6.00-$6.50T 18%
$5.00-$5.50T 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
<$4.00T
4%
$4.00-$4.50T
10%
$4.50-$5.00T
13%
$5.00-$5.50T
18%
$5.50-$6.00T
24%
$6.00-$6.50T
18%
$6.50T+
22%
$5.50-$6.00T 24%
$6.50T+ 22%
$6.00-$6.50T 18%
$5.00-$5.50T 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
<$4.00T
$2,512 Обс.
4%
$4.00-$4.50T
$731 Обс.
10%
$4.50-$5.00T
$541 Обс.
13%
$5.00-$5.50T
$926 Обс.
18%
$5.50-$6.00T
$3,050 Обс.
24%
$6.00-$6.50T
$1,046 Обс.
18%
$6.50T+
$614 Обс.
22%
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Nvidia’s current ~$5.3 trillion market cap and the closely bunched Polymarket odds around $5.5–6.5 trillion by year-end reflect sustained AI data-center demand, highlighted by the company’s August earnings beat with $96 billion in quarterly revenue and 70% growth guidance for fiscal 2028. Traders are weighing Nvidia’s full-stack momentum—Vera Rubin platform shipments now underway, NVLink Fusion for custom chips, and expanding revenue per gigawatt of AI-factory capacity—against rising competition from hyperscaler ASICs at Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta plus AMD’s MI300/MI350 GPUs. Supply constraints, China export restrictions, and questions over whether hyperscaler capex can reach the projected $800 billion this year and $1.3 trillion next continue to cap upside bets while supporting the balanced distribution across mid-to-high trillion-dollar outcomes.
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,421Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Nvidia’s current ~$5.3 trillion market cap and the closely bunched Polymarket odds around $5.5–6.5 trillion by year-end reflect sustained AI data-center demand, highlighted by the company’s August earnings beat with $96 billion in quarterly revenue and 70% growth guidance for fiscal 2028. Traders are weighing Nvidia’s full-stack momentum—Vera Rubin platform shipments now underway, NVLink Fusion for custom chips, and expanding revenue per gigawatt of AI-factory capacity—against rising competition from hyperscaler ASICs at Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta plus AMD’s MI300/MI350 GPUs. Supply constraints, China export restrictions, and questions over whether hyperscaler capex can reach the projected $800 billion this year and $1.3 trillion next continue to cap upside bets while supporting the balanced distribution across mid-to-high trillion-dollar outcomes.
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Обсяг
$9,421Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Nvidia’s current ~$5.3 trillion market cap and the closely bunched Polymarket odds around $5.5–6.5 trillion by year-end reflect sustained AI data-center demand, highlighted by the company’s August earnings beat with $96 billion in quarterly revenue and 70% growth guidance for fiscal 2028. Traders are weighing Nvidia’s full-stack momentum—Vera Rubin platform shipments now underway, NVLink Fusion for custom chips, and expanding revenue per gigawatt of AI-factory capacity—against rising competition from hyperscaler ASICs at Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta plus AMD’s MI300/MI350 GPUs. Supply constraints, China export restrictions, and questions over whether hyperscaler capex can reach the projected $800 billion this year and $1.3 trillion next continue to cap upside bets while supporting the balanced distribution across mid-to-high trillion-dollar outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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