Incumbent Democratic Justice Anita Earls holds a clear lead in trader consensus for the November 3, 2026, North Carolina Supreme Court election, reflecting recent polling averages and campaign dynamics. Multiple October surveys, including Change Research, show Earls ahead by single digits to nine points, with her support reaching 50% in the latest samples amid low undecideds. Her substantial fundraising advantage—roughly 13 times Stevens’ available cash—has supported greater visibility through ads, while Stevens has maintained a low public profile with limited events and no major television buys. Early voting begins October 15, and the race centers on judicial philosophy differences without altering the court’s current partisan balance. Traders appear to weigh these structural and momentum factors heavily in pricing the outcome.