Stefany Shaheen leads the market for the September 8, 2026, Democratic primary in New Hampshire’s 1st Congressional District at 59.5 percent implied probability, driven by her strong name recognition as the daughter of longtime U.S. Senator Jeanne Shaheen and recent endorsements from every Democratic mayor in the district. Her fundraising totals through March 31 also outpace most rivals, reinforcing trader confidence in her path to the nomination. Maura Sullivan holds second place at 33 percent, supported by her background as a Marine Corps veteran and former Obama administration official, along with substantial cash raised and a prior 2018 bid for the seat. Carleigh Beriont and Heath Howard trail at single digits, reflecting lower visibility and narrower donor networks. University of New Hampshire polling has shown Shaheen ahead, though the race remains months from the primary and could shift with further debates or late endorsements.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоStefany Shaheen 60%
Maura Sullivan 32%
Carleigh Beriont 8%
Heath Howard 4.8%
$14,282 Обс.
$14,282 Обс.
Stefany Shaheen
60%
Maura Sullivan
32%
Carleigh Beriont
8%
Heath Howard
5%
Stefany Shaheen 60%
Maura Sullivan 32%
Carleigh Beriont 8%
Heath Howard 4.8%
$14,282 Обс.
$14,282 Обс.
Stefany Shaheen
60%
Maura Sullivan
32%
Carleigh Beriont
8%
Heath Howard
5%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Stefany Shaheen leads the market for the September 8, 2026, Democratic primary in New Hampshire’s 1st Congressional District at 59.5 percent implied probability, driven by her strong name recognition as the daughter of longtime U.S. Senator Jeanne Shaheen and recent endorsements from every Democratic mayor in the district. Her fundraising totals through March 31 also outpace most rivals, reinforcing trader confidence in her path to the nomination. Maura Sullivan holds second place at 33 percent, supported by her background as a Marine Corps veteran and former Obama administration official, along with substantial cash raised and a prior 2018 bid for the seat. Carleigh Beriont and Heath Howard trail at single digits, reflecting lower visibility and narrower donor networks. University of New Hampshire polling has shown Shaheen ahead, though the race remains months from the primary and could shift with further debates or late endorsements.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання