This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Chancellor of the Exchequer will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Chancellor of the Exchequer is appointed, or Rachel Reeves is re-appointed as Chancellor of the Exchequer, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Chancellor in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Speculation over a potential Labour leadership transition and cabinet reshuffle in 2026 is keeping the contest for the next Chancellor of the Exchequer tightly matched among multiple figures. Recent local election setbacks have intensified pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, prompting discussions of successors and portfolio changes that could elevate candidates such as Ed Miliband or others currently in or near Treasury-related roles. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with no single contender pulling ahead amid variables like economic performance, party internal dynamics, and any formal announcements on ministerial appointments. A confirmed leadership vote, Spring Statement fallout, or targeted reshuffle would likely widen gaps by clarifying pathways for frontrunners versus those seen as less aligned with fiscal priorities.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Chancellor of the Exchequer will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Chancellor of the Exchequer is appointed, or Rachel Reeves is re-appointed as Chancellor of the Exchequer, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Chancellor in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Chancellor of the Exchequer will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Chancellor of the Exchequer is appointed, or Rachel Reeves is re-appointed as Chancellor of the Exchequer, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Chancellor in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Speculation over a potential Labour leadership transition and cabinet reshuffle in 2026 is keeping the contest for the next Chancellor of the Exchequer tightly matched among multiple figures. Recent local election setbacks have intensified pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, prompting discussions of successors and portfolio changes that could elevate candidates such as Ed Miliband or others currently in or near Treasury-related roles. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with no single contender pulling ahead amid variables like economic performance, party internal dynamics, and any formal announcements on ministerial appointments. A confirmed leadership vote, Spring Statement fallout, or targeted reshuffle would likely widen gaps by clarifying pathways for frontrunners versus those seen as less aligned with fiscal priorities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Jul 20 2026
Andy Burnham officially becomes Prime Minister, expected to announce cabinet including Chancellor
Shabana Mahmood plunges to 73%16%
Andy Burnham was formally appointed Prime Minister and was expected to announce his cabinet appointments, including the Chancellor of the Exchequer, imminently. Market prices reflected this with Shabana Mahmood maintaining a strong lead as the likely appointee.
Jul 15 2026
Ed Miliband's candidacy for Chancellor weakens amid business and union opposition
Ed Miliband plunges to 3%48%
Ed Miliband, initially a frontrunner for Chancellor, faced growing opposition from business leaders and trade unions concerned about his net-zero policies and fiscal discipline. Reports suggested Burnham might appoint Miliband as Foreign Secretary instead, reducing his chances for the Treasury role and causing his market odds to drop significantly.
Jul 15 2026
Reports suggest Andy Burnham to appoint Shabana Mahmood as Chancellor
Shabana Mahmood surges to 86%67%
Multiple media reports indicated that Andy Burnham, soon to be Prime Minister, was set to name Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer. This news caused a sharp rise in Mahmood's market price, reflecting strong market confidence in her appointment.
Jul 14 2026
Market survey shows Wes Streeting favored by UK markets over Ed Miliband for Chancellor role
Wes Streeting dips to 1%3%
A Bloomberg Markets Live Pulse survey of market participants showed Wes Streeting as the preferred candidate for Chancellor among UK markets, with Ed Miliband seen as the least market-friendly choice. This survey influenced market sentiment, contributing to Streeting's relative support and Miliband's decline in odds.
Jul 14 2026
Andy Burnham secures Labour leadership, set to become UK Prime Minister on July 20
Shabana Mahmood jumps to 87%9%
Andy Burnham was confirmed as Labour leader with overwhelming support, clearing the way for him to become Prime Minister. This political development solidified expectations that he would appoint his preferred Chancellor, boosting market confidence in Mahmood.
Jul 14 2026
Reports emerge that Andy Burnham will appoint Shabana Mahmood as Chancellor
Shabana Mahmood surges to 86%67%
Multiple credible media reports indicated that incoming Prime Minister Andy Burnham is expected to name Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer. This news caused a sharp increase in market confidence for Mahmood, reflecting her perceived alignment with Burnham's agenda and positive reception by financial markets.
Jul 10 2026
Shabana Mahmood emerges as Burnham’s likely pick for Chancellor amid mixed reactions
Shabana Mahmood surges to 87%79%
Reports highlighted Burnham's preference for Mahmood as Chancellor, citing her political alignment and operational capability, despite some parliamentary opposition to her immigration reforms. This reinforced market confidence in Mahmood's appointment.
Jun 26 2026
Reports emerge that Andy Burnham is expected to appoint Shabana Mahmood as Chancellor
Shabana Mahmood surges to 87%81%
Multiple news sources reported that Andy Burnham, poised to become Prime Minister, was likely to name Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer, signaling a shift from other contenders like Ed Miliband. This news caused a significant rise in Mahmood's market probability.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Chancellor of the Exchequer will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Chancellor of the Exchequer is appointed, or Rachel Reeves is re-appointed as Chancellor of the Exchequer, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Chancellor in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Speculation over a potential Labour leadership transition and cabinet reshuffle in 2026 is keeping the contest for the next Chancellor of the Exchequer tightly matched among multiple figures. Recent local election setbacks have intensified pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, prompting discussions of successors and portfolio changes that could elevate candidates such as Ed Miliband or others currently in or near Treasury-related roles. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with no single contender pulling ahead amid variables like economic performance, party internal dynamics, and any formal announcements on ministerial appointments. A confirmed leadership vote, Spring Statement fallout, or targeted reshuffle would likely widen gaps by clarifying pathways for frontrunners versus those seen as less aligned with fiscal priorities.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Chancellor of the Exchequer will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Chancellor of the Exchequer is appointed, or Rachel Reeves is re-appointed as Chancellor of the Exchequer, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Chancellor in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Chancellor of the Exchequer will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Chancellor of the Exchequer is appointed, or Rachel Reeves is re-appointed as Chancellor of the Exchequer, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Chancellor in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Speculation over a potential Labour leadership transition and cabinet reshuffle in 2026 is keeping the contest for the next Chancellor of the Exchequer tightly matched among multiple figures. Recent local election setbacks have intensified pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, prompting discussions of successors and portfolio changes that could elevate candidates such as Ed Miliband or others currently in or near Treasury-related roles. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with no single contender pulling ahead amid variables like economic performance, party internal dynamics, and any formal announcements on ministerial appointments. A confirmed leadership vote, Spring Statement fallout, or targeted reshuffle would likely widen gaps by clarifying pathways for frontrunners versus those seen as less aligned with fiscal priorities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Jul 20 2026
Andy Burnham officially becomes Prime Minister, expected to announce cabinet including Chancellor
Shabana Mahmood plunges to 73%16%
Andy Burnham was formally appointed Prime Minister and was expected to announce his cabinet appointments, including the Chancellor of the Exchequer, imminently. Market prices reflected this with Shabana Mahmood maintaining a strong lead as the likely appointee.
Jul 15 2026
Ed Miliband's candidacy for Chancellor weakens amid business and union opposition
Ed Miliband plunges to 3%48%
Ed Miliband, initially a frontrunner for Chancellor, faced growing opposition from business leaders and trade unions concerned about his net-zero policies and fiscal discipline. Reports suggested Burnham might appoint Miliband as Foreign Secretary instead, reducing his chances for the Treasury role and causing his market odds to drop significantly.
Jul 15 2026
Reports suggest Andy Burnham to appoint Shabana Mahmood as Chancellor
Shabana Mahmood surges to 86%67%
Multiple media reports indicated that Andy Burnham, soon to be Prime Minister, was set to name Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer. This news caused a sharp rise in Mahmood's market price, reflecting strong market confidence in her appointment.
Jul 14 2026
Market survey shows Wes Streeting favored by UK markets over Ed Miliband for Chancellor role
Wes Streeting dips to 1%3%
A Bloomberg Markets Live Pulse survey of market participants showed Wes Streeting as the preferred candidate for Chancellor among UK markets, with Ed Miliband seen as the least market-friendly choice. This survey influenced market sentiment, contributing to Streeting's relative support and Miliband's decline in odds.
Jul 14 2026
Andy Burnham secures Labour leadership, set to become UK Prime Minister on July 20
Shabana Mahmood jumps to 87%9%
Andy Burnham was confirmed as Labour leader with overwhelming support, clearing the way for him to become Prime Minister. This political development solidified expectations that he would appoint his preferred Chancellor, boosting market confidence in Mahmood.
Jul 14 2026
Reports emerge that Andy Burnham will appoint Shabana Mahmood as Chancellor
Shabana Mahmood surges to 86%67%
Multiple credible media reports indicated that incoming Prime Minister Andy Burnham is expected to name Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer. This news caused a sharp increase in market confidence for Mahmood, reflecting her perceived alignment with Burnham's agenda and positive reception by financial markets.
Jul 10 2026
Shabana Mahmood emerges as Burnham’s likely pick for Chancellor amid mixed reactions
Shabana Mahmood surges to 87%79%
Reports highlighted Burnham's preference for Mahmood as Chancellor, citing her political alignment and operational capability, despite some parliamentary opposition to her immigration reforms. This reinforced market confidence in Mahmood's appointment.
Jun 26 2026
Reports emerge that Andy Burnham is expected to appoint Shabana Mahmood as Chancellor
Shabana Mahmood surges to 87%81%
Multiple news sources reported that Andy Burnham, poised to become Prime Minister, was likely to name Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer, signaling a shift from other contenders like Ed Miliband. This news caused a significant rise in Mahmood's market probability.
«Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «John Healey» з 100%, далі «Ed Miliband» з 0%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.
Станом на сьогодні, «Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?» згенерував $1.5 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jun 21, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.
Щоб торгувати на «Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.
Поточний фаворит для «Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?» — «John Healey» з 100%. Наступний — «Ed Miliband» з 0%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.
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Шанси Polymarket встановлюються реальними трейдерами, які вкладають реальні гроші, що сприяє точним прогнозам. З $1.5 million торгового обсягу на «Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?» ці ціни агрегують колективні знання тисяч учасників. Polymarket має місячний показник точності 94%. Для актуальної статистики точності відвідайте сторінку точності на Polymarket.
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На Polymarket ціна кожного результату відображає ймовірність ринку. Ціна 100¢ для «John Healey» на ринку «Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?» означає, що трейдери колективно оцінюють шанс цього результату приблизно в 100%. Якщо ви купите акції «Так» за 100¢ і результат правильний, ви отримаєте $1.00 за акцію — прибуток 0¢ за акцію.
Ринок «Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?» вирішено. Фінальний результат визначено і ринок більше не відкритий для торгівлі. Ви можете переглянути історичні шанси та коментарі на цій сторінці.
Ринок «Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?» має активна спільнота з 38 коментарями, де трейдери діляться аналізом, обговорюють результати та останні новини. Прокрутіть вниз до розділу коментарів. Ви також можете фільтрувати за «Топ власники» або переглянути вкладку «Активність» для стрічки угод у реальному часі.
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