Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a dominant 72% implied probability that no James Bond actor will be officially chosen soon, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' deliberate pace—executives confirmed in April no decision has been made, with auditions only now underway under veteran casting director Nina Gold from Game of Thrones fame. Callum Turner leads frontrunners at 12.6% amid persistent industry buzz and his coy festival responses, while Aaron Taylor-Johnson lingers at 5.5% on earlier unconfirmed offer reports, and Jacob Elordi's 3.3% reflects fresh early-May "pole position" rumors tied to director meetings. Historical Bond casting secrecy and a 2028 release target keep uncertainty high, with screen tests as the next key catalyst.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоНаступний актор Джеймса Бонда?
Наступний актор Джеймса Бонда?
Бонда не обрали 75%
Каллум Тернер 12.6%
Аарон Тейлор-Джонсон 5.5%
Джейкоб Елорді 3.3%
$2,178,469 Обс.
$2,178,469 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
Бонда не обрали
75%
Каллум Тернер
13%
Аарон Тейлор-Джонсон
5%
Джейкоб Елорді
3%
Генрі Кавілл
1%
Тео Джеймс
1%
Гарріс Дікінсон
1%
Том Гарді
1%
Том Голланд
1%
Джеймс Нортон
<1%
Пол Мескал
<1%
Пірс Броснан
<1%
Джек Лоудон
<1%
Роберт Джеймс-Коллієр
<1%
Джош О'Коннор
<1%
Бонда не обрали 75%
Каллум Тернер 12.6%
Аарон Тейлор-Джонсон 5.5%
Джейкоб Елорді 3.3%
$2,178,469 Обс.
$2,178,469 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
Бонда не обрали
$268,044 Обс.
75%
Каллум Тернер
$143,404 Обс.
13%
Аарон Тейлор-Джонсон
$116,841 Обс.
5%
Джейкоб Елорді
$258,024 Обс.
3%
Генрі Кавілл
$315,422 Обс.
1%
Тео Джеймс
$40,383 Обс.
1%
Гарріс Дікінсон
$156,791 Обс.
1%
Том Гарді
$84,446 Обс.
1%
Том Голланд
$78,610 Обс.
1%
Джеймс Нортон
$122,032 Обс.
<1%
Пол Мескал
$225,210 Обс.
<1%
Пірс Броснан
$189,715 Обс.
<1%
Джек Лоудон
$88,451 Обс.
<1%
Роберт Джеймс-Коллієр
$43,761 Обс.
<1%
Джош О'Коннор
$47,376 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a dominant 72% implied probability that no James Bond actor will be officially chosen soon, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' deliberate pace—executives confirmed in April no decision has been made, with auditions only now underway under veteran casting director Nina Gold from Game of Thrones fame. Callum Turner leads frontrunners at 12.6% amid persistent industry buzz and his coy festival responses, while Aaron Taylor-Johnson lingers at 5.5% on earlier unconfirmed offer reports, and Jacob Elordi's 3.3% reflects fresh early-May "pole position" rumors tied to director meetings. Historical Bond casting secrecy and a 2028 release target keep uncertainty high, with screen tests as the next key catalyst.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,178,469Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a dominant 72% implied probability that no James Bond actor will be officially chosen soon, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' deliberate pace—executives confirmed in April no decision has been made, with auditions only now underway under veteran casting director Nina Gold from Game of Thrones fame. Callum Turner leads frontrunners at 12.6% amid persistent industry buzz and his coy festival responses, while Aaron Taylor-Johnson lingers at 5.5% on earlier unconfirmed offer reports, and Jacob Elordi's 3.3% reflects fresh early-May "pole position" rumors tied to director meetings. Historical Bond casting secrecy and a 2028 release target keep uncertainty high, with screen tests as the next key catalyst.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$2,178,469Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a dominant 72% implied probability that no James Bond actor will be officially chosen soon, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' deliberate pace—executives confirmed in April no decision has been made, with auditions only now underway under veteran casting director Nina Gold from Game of Thrones fame. Callum Turner leads frontrunners at 12.6% amid persistent industry buzz and his coy festival responses, while Aaron Taylor-Johnson lingers at 5.5% on earlier unconfirmed offer reports, and Jacob Elordi's 3.3% reflects fresh early-May "pole position" rumors tied to director meetings. Historical Bond casting secrecy and a 2028 release target keep uncertainty high, with screen tests as the next key catalyst.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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