Mojtaba Khamenei has held the office of Iran's Supreme Leader since his March 2026 appointment by the Assembly of Experts following the February assassination of his father, Ali Khamenei, amid the US-Israel conflict. Trader focus on a public appearance centers on the leader's sustained low profile, with only written statements, archival images, and indirect confirmations of private meetings released since then. Security threats tied to the ongoing war, reported injuries, and regime caution have been cited by officials and diplomats as reasons for avoiding visible events. Recent actions include August 2026 appointments of hard-line military figures to security posts and continued issuance of policy statements without live footage or rallies. Any verified sighting at a memorial, official gathering, or broadcast address would likely shift probabilities, while prolonged absence aligns with patterns of limited exposure during active conflict or transition periods.