Ghalibaf secured reelection as Majlis speaker for a seventh consecutive term in the May 2026 internal leadership vote by a wide margin of 235-36, reflecting backing from Supreme Leader-aligned networks and IRGC pragmatists despite ongoing friction with the Paydari Front hardliners. His elevated role as chief negotiator in U.S. talks and post-conflict diplomacy since early 2026 has reinforced his institutional position, including influence over the Supreme National Security Council. Recent internal committee leadership shifts in July 2026 and disputes over state media coverage signal factional maneuvering, yet no formal challenge has displaced him ahead of the next annual presiding board election. Traders assess removal odds against this pattern of annual votes and elite consensus, with potential catalysts limited to sudden leadership transitions or escalated internal purges before the following cycle.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$48,796 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
3%
December 31
16%
$48,796 Обс.
September 30
$7,403 Обс.
3%
December 31
$17,806 Обс.
16%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ghalibaf secured reelection as Majlis speaker for a seventh consecutive term in the May 2026 internal leadership vote by a wide margin of 235-36, reflecting backing from Supreme Leader-aligned networks and IRGC pragmatists despite ongoing friction with the Paydari Front hardliners. His elevated role as chief negotiator in U.S. talks and post-conflict diplomacy since early 2026 has reinforced his institutional position, including influence over the Supreme National Security Council. Recent internal committee leadership shifts in July 2026 and disputes over state media coverage signal factional maneuvering, yet no formal challenge has displaced him ahead of the next annual presiding board election. Traders assess removal odds against this pattern of annual votes and elite consensus, with potential catalysts limited to sudden leadership transitions or escalated internal purges before the following cycle.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ET
Обсяг
$48,796Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ghalibaf secured reelection as Majlis speaker for a seventh consecutive term in the May 2026 internal leadership vote by a wide margin of 235-36, reflecting backing from Supreme Leader-aligned networks and IRGC pragmatists despite ongoing friction with the Paydari Front hardliners. His elevated role as chief negotiator in U.S. talks and post-conflict diplomacy since early 2026 has reinforced his institutional position, including influence over the Supreme National Security Council. Recent internal committee leadership shifts in July 2026 and disputes over state media coverage signal factional maneuvering, yet no formal challenge has displaced him ahead of the next annual presiding board election. Traders assess removal odds against this pattern of annual votes and elite consensus, with potential catalysts limited to sudden leadership transitions or escalated internal purges before the following cycle.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$48,796Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ghalibaf secured reelection as Majlis speaker for a seventh consecutive term in the May 2026 internal leadership vote by a wide margin of 235-36, reflecting backing from Supreme Leader-aligned networks and IRGC pragmatists despite ongoing friction with the Paydari Front hardliners. His elevated role as chief negotiator in U.S. talks and post-conflict diplomacy since early 2026 has reinforced his institutional position, including influence over the Supreme National Security Council. Recent internal committee leadership shifts in July 2026 and disputes over state media coverage signal factional maneuvering, yet no formal challenge has displaced him ahead of the next annual presiding board election. Traders assess removal odds against this pattern of annual votes and elite consensus, with potential catalysts limited to sudden leadership transitions or escalated internal purges before the following cycle.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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