Kyle Schwarber’s early-season power surge, including a major-league-leading 22 home runs as of late May, underpins his 42% implied probability as the 2026 home-run leader. Aaron Judge sits at 28% after 17 long balls, reflecting his proven ability to sustain elite output over a full campaign despite trailing in the current count. Yordan Alvarez and Munetaka Murakami, both near 20 homers, hold 11% and 7% respectively on the strength of their recent pace and favorable park factors. Traders weigh these totals against historical second-half trends, injury risk, and schedule difficulty when assigning remaining probabilities across the field.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоKyle Schwarber 42%
Aaron Judge 28%
Yordan Alvarez 11.3%
Munetaka Murakami 8%
$23,869 Обс.
$23,869 Обс.
Kyle Schwarber
42%
Aaron Judge
28%
Yordan Alvarez
11%
Munetaka Murakami
8%
James Wood
2%
Junior Caminero
1%
Shohei Ohtani
1%
Matt Olson
1%
Cal Raleigh
1%
Brandon Lowe
1%
Shea Langeliers
1%
Juan Soto
1%
Elly De La Cruz
1%
Eugenio Suarez
1%
Nick Kurtz
1%
Rafael Devers
1%
Jordan Walker
1%
Ben Rice
<1%
Giancarlo Stanton
<1%
Manny Machado
<1%
CJ Abrams
<1%
Mike Trout
<1%
Sal Stewart
<1%
George Springer
<1%
Pete Alonso
<1%
Kyle Schwarber 42%
Aaron Judge 28%
Yordan Alvarez 11.3%
Munetaka Murakami 8%
$23,869 Обс.
$23,869 Обс.
Kyle Schwarber
42%
Aaron Judge
28%
Yordan Alvarez
11%
Munetaka Murakami
8%
James Wood
2%
Junior Caminero
1%
Shohei Ohtani
1%
Matt Olson
1%
Cal Raleigh
1%
Brandon Lowe
1%
Shea Langeliers
1%
Juan Soto
1%
Elly De La Cruz
1%
Eugenio Suarez
1%
Nick Kurtz
1%
Rafael Devers
1%
Jordan Walker
1%
Ben Rice
<1%
Giancarlo Stanton
<1%
Manny Machado
<1%
CJ Abrams
<1%
Mike Trout
<1%
Sal Stewart
<1%
George Springer
<1%
Pete Alonso
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kyle Schwarber’s early-season power surge, including a major-league-leading 22 home runs as of late May, underpins his 42% implied probability as the 2026 home-run leader. Aaron Judge sits at 28% after 17 long balls, reflecting his proven ability to sustain elite output over a full campaign despite trailing in the current count. Yordan Alvarez and Munetaka Murakami, both near 20 homers, hold 11% and 7% respectively on the strength of their recent pace and favorable park factors. Traders weigh these totals against historical second-half trends, injury risk, and schedule difficulty when assigning remaining probabilities across the field.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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