Peggy Flanagan secured the Democratic nomination for Minnesota’s open U.S. Senate seat on August 11 with roughly 59 percent of the vote to Rep. Angie Craig’s 39 percent, producing a margin that falls squarely in the 15–20 point range. Flanagan consolidated support through the DFL endorsement process, strong backing from progressive organizations and retiring Sen. Tina Smith, and alignment with primary voters focused on corporate influence and immigration enforcement concerns. Craig’s advantages in fundraising and suburban appeal proved insufficient against this structural and ideological consolidation. With the race called and results certified in line with the reported spread, traders assign near-certainty to the current outcome. Late adjustments from remaining absentee or provisional ballots remain possible but are unlikely to shift the margin outside the 15–20 point band.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFlanagan 15–20% 97.9%
Flanagan 20%+ 3.9%
Flanagan <5% 3.2%
Flanagan 5–10% 3.1%
$47,795 Обс.
$47,795 Обс.
Aug 11, 2026
Flanagan 20%+
4%
Flanagan 15–20%
98%
Flanagan 10–15%
<1%
Flanagan 5–10%
3%
Flanagan <5%
3%
Craig <5%
3%
Craig 5–10%
2%
Craig 10–15%
<1%
Craig 15–20%
<1%
Craig 20%+
1%
Flanagan 15–20% 97.9%
Flanagan 20%+ 3.9%
Flanagan <5% 3.2%
Flanagan 5–10% 3.1%
$47,795 Обс.
$47,795 Обс.
Aug 11, 2026
Flanagan 20%+
$1,541 Обс.
4%
Flanagan 15–20%
$17,396 Обс.
98%
Flanagan 10–15%
$9,838 Обс.
<1%
Flanagan 5–10%
$4,635 Обс.
3%
Flanagan <5%
$9,204 Обс.
3%
Craig <5%
$1,394 Обс.
3%
Craig 5–10%
$2,152 Обс.
2%
Craig 10–15%
$663 Обс.
<1%
Craig 15–20%
$489 Обс.
<1%
Craig 20%+
$483 Обс.
1%
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Peggy Flanagan secured the Democratic nomination for Minnesota’s open U.S. Senate seat on August 11 with roughly 59 percent of the vote to Rep. Angie Craig’s 39 percent, producing a margin that falls squarely in the 15–20 point range. Flanagan consolidated support through the DFL endorsement process, strong backing from progressive organizations and retiring Sen. Tina Smith, and alignment with primary voters focused on corporate influence and immigration enforcement concerns. Craig’s advantages in fundraising and suburban appeal proved insufficient against this structural and ideological consolidation. With the race called and results certified in line with the reported spread, traders assign near-certainty to the current outcome. Late adjustments from remaining absentee or provisional ballots remain possible but are unlikely to shift the margin outside the 15–20 point band.
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 15, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Обсяг
$47,795Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 15, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Peggy Flanagan secured the Democratic nomination for Minnesota’s open U.S. Senate seat on August 11 with roughly 59 percent of the vote to Rep. Angie Craig’s 39 percent, producing a margin that falls squarely in the 15–20 point range. Flanagan consolidated support through the DFL endorsement process, strong backing from progressive organizations and retiring Sen. Tina Smith, and alignment with primary voters focused on corporate influence and immigration enforcement concerns. Craig’s advantages in fundraising and suburban appeal proved insufficient against this structural and ideological consolidation. With the race called and results certified in line with the reported spread, traders assign near-certainty to the current outcome. Late adjustments from remaining absentee or provisional ballots remain possible but are unlikely to shift the margin outside the 15–20 point band.
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Обсяг
$47,795Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 15, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Peggy Flanagan secured the Democratic nomination for Minnesota’s open U.S. Senate seat on August 11 with roughly 59 percent of the vote to Rep. Angie Craig’s 39 percent, producing a margin that falls squarely in the 15–20 point range. Flanagan consolidated support through the DFL endorsement process, strong backing from progressive organizations and retiring Sen. Tina Smith, and alignment with primary voters focused on corporate influence and immigration enforcement concerns. Craig’s advantages in fundraising and suburban appeal proved insufficient against this structural and ideological consolidation. With the race called and results certified in line with the reported spread, traders assign near-certainty to the current outcome. Late adjustments from remaining absentee or provisional ballots remain possible but are unlikely to shift the margin outside the 15–20 point band.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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