Incumbent Keith Ellison holds a substantial edge in the Minnesota attorney general race due to the DFL's long-standing dominance in statewide contests and his established record on consumer protection and litigation against federal policies. Republican challenger Ronald J. Schutz has narrowed the gap in recent KSTP/SurveyUSA polling by emphasizing proactive fraud enforcement and criticizing Ellison's handling of Medicaid and social service cases, yet no Republican has won the office since 1966. Late September candidate appearances highlighted divides over Trump administration actions and state-level prosecutions, with outside spending surging on both sides. Traders appear to weigh structural advantages and historical patterns more heavily than short-term poll movement or fundraising shifts ahead of the November 3 vote.