Democratic incumbent Hillary Scholten holds Michigan’s 3rd congressional district and is seeking re-election in 2026. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, reflecting its D+4 Partisan Voter Index and Scholten’s 2024 general-election margin of roughly ten points. The district has shifted steadily toward Democrats since 2016. Republican primary candidates have filed for the August 4 contest, but the seat’s structural lean and historical results keep the Democratic nominee the clear favorite among traders. No major developments in recent weeks have altered the competitive landscape.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMI-03 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
89%
Republican Party
17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$450 Обс.
89%
Republican Party
$163 Обс.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Hillary Scholten holds Michigan’s 3rd congressional district and is seeking re-election in 2026. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, reflecting its D+4 Partisan Voter Index and Scholten’s 2024 general-election margin of roughly ten points. The district has shifted steadily toward Democrats since 2016. Republican primary candidates have filed for the August 4 contest, but the seat’s structural lean and historical results keep the Democratic nominee the clear favorite among traders. No major developments in recent weeks have altered the competitive landscape.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
Обсяг
$613Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Hillary Scholten holds Michigan’s 3rd congressional district and is seeking re-election in 2026. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, reflecting its D+4 Partisan Voter Index and Scholten’s 2024 general-election margin of roughly ten points. The district has shifted steadily toward Democrats since 2016. Republican primary candidates have filed for the August 4 contest, but the seat’s structural lean and historical results keep the Democratic nominee the clear favorite among traders. No major developments in recent weeks have altered the competitive landscape.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$613Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Hillary Scholten holds Michigan’s 3rd congressional district and is seeking re-election in 2026. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, reflecting its D+4 Partisan Voter Index and Scholten’s 2024 general-election margin of roughly ten points. The district has shifted steadily toward Democrats since 2016. Republican primary candidates have filed for the August 4 contest, but the seat’s structural lean and historical results keep the Democratic nominee the clear favorite among traders. No major developments in recent weeks have altered the competitive landscape.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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