The AfD secured a 38.2% share in the September 20 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election, finishing 2.7 points ahead of the SPD at 35.5% and more than doubling its 2021 result. This margin reflects sustained strength in eastern rural districts, where the party captured 22 of 36 direct mandates, alongside higher turnout that favored its mobilization of previous non-voters. Late campaign gains by SPD Minister President Manuela Schwesig narrowed an earlier polling gap but proved insufficient to overtake. Other parties, including the CDU at 4.9%, fell below the threshold and split the remaining vote. Final certification could produce minor adjustments, though shifts large enough to move the margin outside the 2-5 point band remain unlikely absent substantial recount discrepancies.