In Massachusetts' 8th Congressional District Democratic primary set for September 1, trader consensus favors incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch at 43% implied probability, reflecting his two-decade tenure, strong name recognition, and $1.18 million cash on hand as of late March, yet challenger Patrick Roath has narrowed the gap to 37% through grassroots fundraising ($889,000 raised), endorsements from former Gov. Deval Patrick and David Hogg's Leaders We Deserve PAC, and a generational appeal at age 39 versus Lynch's 71. Roath's May 11 ballot qualification and recent criticisms of Lynch's avoidance of in-person town halls and debates sustain the tight contest, with withdrawn candidate Andrew Zylberfink holding 12% residual support. Independent polls, major endorsements, or candidate forums could tip the balance ahead of early voting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMA-08 Democratic Primary Winner
MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner
Andrew Zylberfink 11.9%
Stephen Lynch 0
Patrick Roath 0
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
Andrew Zylberfink
12%
Stephen Lynch
41%
Patrick Roath
42%
Andrew Zylberfink 11.9%
Stephen Lynch 0
Patrick Roath 0
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
Andrew Zylberfink
$286 Обс.
12%
Stephen Lynch
$2,228 Обс.
41%
Patrick Roath
$50 Обс.
42%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Massachusetts' 8th Congressional District Democratic primary set for September 1, trader consensus favors incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch at 43% implied probability, reflecting his two-decade tenure, strong name recognition, and $1.18 million cash on hand as of late March, yet challenger Patrick Roath has narrowed the gap to 37% through grassroots fundraising ($889,000 raised), endorsements from former Gov. Deval Patrick and David Hogg's Leaders We Deserve PAC, and a generational appeal at age 39 versus Lynch's 71. Roath's May 11 ballot qualification and recent criticisms of Lynch's avoidance of in-person town halls and debates sustain the tight contest, with withdrawn candidate Andrew Zylberfink holding 12% residual support. Independent polls, major endorsements, or candidate forums could tip the balance ahead of early voting.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,563Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Massachusetts' 8th Congressional District Democratic primary set for September 1, trader consensus favors incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch at 43% implied probability, reflecting his two-decade tenure, strong name recognition, and $1.18 million cash on hand as of late March, yet challenger Patrick Roath has narrowed the gap to 37% through grassroots fundraising ($889,000 raised), endorsements from former Gov. Deval Patrick and David Hogg's Leaders We Deserve PAC, and a generational appeal at age 39 versus Lynch's 71. Roath's May 11 ballot qualification and recent criticisms of Lynch's avoidance of in-person town halls and debates sustain the tight contest, with withdrawn candidate Andrew Zylberfink holding 12% residual support. Independent polls, major endorsements, or candidate forums could tip the balance ahead of early voting.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$2,563Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In Massachusetts' 8th Congressional District Democratic primary set for September 1, trader consensus favors incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch at 43% implied probability, reflecting his two-decade tenure, strong name recognition, and $1.18 million cash on hand as of late March, yet challenger Patrick Roath has narrowed the gap to 37% through grassroots fundraising ($889,000 raised), endorsements from former Gov. Deval Patrick and David Hogg's Leaders We Deserve PAC, and a generational appeal at age 39 versus Lynch's 71. Roath's May 11 ballot qualification and recent criticisms of Lynch's avoidance of in-person town halls and debates sustain the tight contest, with withdrawn candidate Andrew Zylberfink holding 12% residual support. Independent polls, major endorsements, or candidate forums could tip the balance ahead of early voting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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