The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus on a Republican victory at 90.5%. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader first elected in 2008, faces only token primary opposition from Randall Arrington alongside Democrat Lauren Jewett in the November 3, 2026, primary, with all major forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Limited Democratic recruitment and fundraising in this suburban New Orleans area further reinforce the positioning. A late scandal, health issue, or unexpected national wave could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns in similarly rated districts suggest such shifts rarely alter the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLA-01 House Election Winner
LA-01 House Election Winner
$37,589 Обс.
$37,589 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
9%
$37,589 Обс.
$37,589 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$16,094 Обс.
91%
Democratic Party
$21,495 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus on a Republican victory at 90.5%. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader first elected in 2008, faces only token primary opposition from Randall Arrington alongside Democrat Lauren Jewett in the November 3, 2026, primary, with all major forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Limited Democratic recruitment and fundraising in this suburban New Orleans area further reinforce the positioning. A late scandal, health issue, or unexpected national wave could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns in similarly rated districts suggest such shifts rarely alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$37,589Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus on a Republican victory at 90.5%. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader first elected in 2008, faces only token primary opposition from Randall Arrington alongside Democrat Lauren Jewett in the November 3, 2026, primary, with all major forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Limited Democratic recruitment and fundraising in this suburban New Orleans area further reinforce the positioning. A late scandal, health issue, or unexpected national wave could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns in similarly rated districts suggest such shifts rarely alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$37,589Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus on a Republican victory at 90.5%. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader first elected in 2008, faces only token primary opposition from Randall Arrington alongside Democrat Lauren Jewett in the November 3, 2026, primary, with all major forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Limited Democratic recruitment and fundraising in this suburban New Orleans area further reinforce the positioning. A late scandal, health issue, or unexpected national wave could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns in similarly rated districts suggest such shifts rarely alter the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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