Iranian Kurdish opposition parties, including those in the February 2026 Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan, have focused statements and planning on self-determination, regime change, and a democratic administrative system for Kurdish-majority areas inside a post-regime Iran rather than outright secession. No group has issued a formal independence declaration or asserted exclusive territorial control ahead of the market's June 2026 resolution window. Sustained Iranian security operations, limited external backing for partition, and opposition from neighbors such as Turkey and Iraq reinforce trader consensus at 96.9% on No. A sudden regime collapse creating a power vacuum or major shift in coalition objectives could still open pathways to such a declaration.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоKurds declare independence from Iran?
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
$142,603 Обс.
$142,603 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
$142,603 Обс.
$142,603 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iranian Kurdish opposition parties, including those in the February 2026 Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan, have focused statements and planning on self-determination, regime change, and a democratic administrative system for Kurdish-majority areas inside a post-regime Iran rather than outright secession. No group has issued a formal independence declaration or asserted exclusive territorial control ahead of the market's June 2026 resolution window. Sustained Iranian security operations, limited external backing for partition, and opposition from neighbors such as Turkey and Iraq reinforce trader consensus at 96.9% on No. A sudden regime collapse creating a power vacuum or major shift in coalition objectives could still open pathways to such a declaration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 3, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Обсяг
$142,603Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 3, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iranian Kurdish opposition parties, including those in the February 2026 Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan, have focused statements and planning on self-determination, regime change, and a democratic administrative system for Kurdish-majority areas inside a post-regime Iran rather than outright secession. No group has issued a formal independence declaration or asserted exclusive territorial control ahead of the market's June 2026 resolution window. Sustained Iranian security operations, limited external backing for partition, and opposition from neighbors such as Turkey and Iraq reinforce trader consensus at 96.9% on No. A sudden regime collapse creating a power vacuum or major shift in coalition objectives could still open pathways to such a declaration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$142,603Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 3, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iranian Kurdish opposition parties, including those in the February 2026 Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan, have focused statements and planning on self-determination, regime change, and a democratic administrative system for Kurdish-majority areas inside a post-regime Iran rather than outright secession. No group has issued a formal independence declaration or asserted exclusive territorial control ahead of the market's June 2026 resolution window. Sustained Iranian security operations, limited external backing for partition, and opposition from neighbors such as Turkey and Iraq reinforce trader consensus at 96.9% on No. A sudden regime collapse creating a power vacuum or major shift in coalition objectives could still open pathways to such a declaration.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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