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icon for Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?

Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?

icon for Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?

Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?

3% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
3% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Supreme Leader of North Korea Kim Jong Un visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kim Jong Un physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Kim Jong Un enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For purposes of this market, territory of the United States excludes military bases or diplomatic compounds that are not otherwise within the sovereign territory of the United States. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US or North Korea, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.North Korea’s leadership has shown little interest in a U.S. visit by Kim Jong Un in 2026, prioritizing nuclear force expansion, naval modernization, and deepened ties with China and Russia instead. Recent months featured Xi Jinping’s June summit in Pyongyang, new destroyer commissions, and repeated statements rejecting engagement unless Washington drops denuclearization demands. Trump’s overtures, including scaled-back joint exercises and public interest in a possible APEC-side meeting, have elicited cool or contradictory responses from Pyongyang. With only months remaining and no confirmed itinerary or reciprocal invitation, trader consensus reflects the absence of diplomatic momentum and North Korea’s alternative security and economic alignments. A late-year breakthrough or U.S.-hosted summit could still alter the outcome, though current conditions make such a shift improbable.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Supreme Leader of North Korea Kim Jong Un visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kim Jong Un physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Kim Jong Un enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For purposes of this market, territory of the United States excludes military bases or diplomatic compounds that are not otherwise within the sovereign territory of the United States.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US or North Korea, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Supreme Leader of North Korea Kim Jong Un visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kim Jong Un physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Kim Jong Un enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For purposes of this market, territory of the United States excludes military bases or diplomatic compounds that are not otherwise within the sovereign territory of the United States. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US or North Korea, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$263
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Supreme Leader of North Korea Kim Jong Un visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kim Jong Un physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Kim Jong Un enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For purposes of this market, territory of the United States excludes military bases or diplomatic compounds that are not otherwise within the sovereign territory of the United States. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US or North Korea, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.North Korea’s leadership has shown little interest in a U.S. visit by Kim Jong Un in 2026, prioritizing nuclear force expansion, naval modernization, and deepened ties with China and Russia instead. Recent months featured Xi Jinping’s June summit in Pyongyang, new destroyer commissions, and repeated statements rejecting engagement unless Washington drops denuclearization demands. Trump’s overtures, including scaled-back joint exercises and public interest in a possible APEC-side meeting, have elicited cool or contradictory responses from Pyongyang. With only months remaining and no confirmed itinerary or reciprocal invitation, trader consensus reflects the absence of diplomatic momentum and North Korea’s alternative security and economic alignments. A late-year breakthrough or U.S.-hosted summit could still alter the outcome, though current conditions make such a shift improbable.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Supreme Leader of North Korea Kim Jong Un visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kim Jong Un physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Kim Jong Un enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For purposes of this market, territory of the United States excludes military bases or diplomatic compounds that are not otherwise within the sovereign territory of the United States.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US or North Korea, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Supreme Leader of North Korea Kim Jong Un visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kim Jong Un physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Kim Jong Un enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For purposes of this market, territory of the United States excludes military bases or diplomatic compounds that are not otherwise within the sovereign territory of the United States. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US or North Korea, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$263
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 3% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 3¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 3%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Aug 18, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?» — 3% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 3% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.