Traders assign near-certainty to fewer than five posts from Khamenei’s official accounts in the September 8–15 window because recent activity data shows the @khamenei_ir and related channels posting at roughly 0.1 times per day, with activity on only about 10 percent of days over the past month. Following the 2026 transition after Ali Khamenei’s death, the accounts have shifted to low-volume, often archival or office-managed content amid ongoing regional tensions, consistent with patterns observed in the preceding months. This sparse cadence reflects institutional continuity rather than daily leadership statements. A sudden escalation requiring multiple official releases, health-related announcements tied to Mojtaba Khamenei’s account, or a major diplomatic development could increase volume, though such shifts have not materialized in the immediate prior period.