Traders see Khamenei's official X accounts posting at irregular, event-driven intervals rather than on any fixed schedule, with recent activity limited to funeral commemorations and archival statements in early July 2026. The similar probabilities across ranges under 60 posts reflect this unpredictability in the post-assassination period, where volume hinges on whether managers release additional material tied to ongoing regional developments or successor-related messaging. Separation could occur from scheduled anniversaries, diplomatic announcements, or shifts in Iranian state media priorities within the July 21–28 window, as the accounts have historically clustered output around major institutional or conflict-related moments rather than maintaining steady cadence.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоKhamenei # posts July 21 - July 28, 2026?
Khamenei # posts July 21 - July 28, 2026?
<5 100.0%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$18,603 Обс.
$18,603 Обс.
Jul 28, 2026
<5
Yes
5-9
No
10-14
No
15-19
No
20-24
No
25-29
No
30-34
No
35-39
No
40-44
No
45-49
No
50-54
No
55-59
No
60+
No
<5 100.0%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$18,603 Обс.
$18,603 Обс.
Jul 28, 2026
<5
$8,141 Обс.
Yes
5-9
$2,690 Обс.
No
10-14
$1,461 Обс.
No
15-19
$1,276 Обс.
No
20-24
$1,477 Обс.
No
25-29
$1,072 Обс.
No
30-34
$507 Обс.
No
35-39
$168 Обс.
No
40-44
$331 Обс.
No
45-49
$352 Обс.
No
50-54
$362 Обс.
No
55-59
$373 Обс.
No
60+
$392 Обс.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see Khamenei's official X accounts posting at irregular, event-driven intervals rather than on any fixed schedule, with recent activity limited to funeral commemorations and archival statements in early July 2026. The similar probabilities across ranges under 60 posts reflect this unpredictability in the post-assassination period, where volume hinges on whether managers release additional material tied to ongoing regional developments or successor-related messaging. Separation could occur from scheduled anniversaries, diplomatic announcements, or shifts in Iranian state media priorities within the July 21–28 window, as the accounts have historically clustered output around major institutional or conflict-related moments rather than maintaining steady cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Обсяг
$18,603Дата завершення
Jul 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: Yes
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Yes
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see Khamenei's official X accounts posting at irregular, event-driven intervals rather than on any fixed schedule, with recent activity limited to funeral commemorations and archival statements in early July 2026. The similar probabilities across ranges under 60 posts reflect this unpredictability in the post-assassination period, where volume hinges on whether managers release additional material tied to ongoing regional developments or successor-related messaging. Separation could occur from scheduled anniversaries, diplomatic announcements, or shifts in Iranian state media priorities within the July 21–28 window, as the accounts have historically clustered output around major institutional or conflict-related moments rather than maintaining steady cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Обсяг
$18,603Дата завершення
Jul 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: Yes
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Yes
Traders see Khamenei's official X accounts posting at irregular, event-driven intervals rather than on any fixed schedule, with recent activity limited to funeral commemorations and archival statements in early July 2026. The similar probabilities across ranges under 60 posts reflect this unpredictability in the post-assassination period, where volume hinges on whether managers release additional material tied to ongoing regional developments or successor-related messaging. Separation could occur from scheduled anniversaries, diplomatic announcements, or shifts in Iranian state media priorities within the July 21–28 window, as the accounts have historically clustered output around major institutional or conflict-related moments rather than maintaining steady cadence.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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