Ali Khamenei’s assassination in March 2026 and succession by Mojtaba Khamenei have shifted the @khamenei_ir account toward infrequent reposts of archival statements rather than new content. Trader consensus at under five posts for August 4–11 reflects this established low-volume pattern, with recent activity limited to occasional written messages on religious commemorations and foreign policy themes. The account’s emphasis on prepared statements over real-time engagement sustains the high probability. A sudden escalation in regional conflict or major domestic announcement could prompt additional direct posts, potentially altering the count within the resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоKhamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?
<5 100.0%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$29,172 Обс.
$29,172 Обс.
Aug 11, 2026
<5
Yes
5-9
No
10-14
No
15-19
No
20-24
No
25-29
No
30-34
No
35-39
No
40-44
No
45-49
No
50-54
No
55-59
No
60+
No
<5 100.0%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$29,172 Обс.
$29,172 Обс.
Aug 11, 2026
<5
$9,442 Обс.
Yes
5-9
$6,637 Обс.
No
10-14
$3,690 Обс.
No
15-19
$2,010 Обс.
No
20-24
$1,494 Обс.
No
25-29
$1,277 Обс.
No
30-34
$1,500 Обс.
No
35-39
$473 Обс.
No
40-44
$508 Обс.
No
45-49
$434 Обс.
No
50-54
$582 Обс.
No
55-59
$543 Обс.
No
60+
$582 Обс.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ali Khamenei’s assassination in March 2026 and succession by Mojtaba Khamenei have shifted the @khamenei_ir account toward infrequent reposts of archival statements rather than new content. Trader consensus at under five posts for August 4–11 reflects this established low-volume pattern, with recent activity limited to occasional written messages on religious commemorations and foreign policy themes. The account’s emphasis on prepared statements over real-time engagement sustains the high probability. A sudden escalation in regional conflict or major domestic announcement could prompt additional direct posts, potentially altering the count within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Обсяг
$29,172Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/khamenei_irВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: Yes
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Yes
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ali Khamenei’s assassination in March 2026 and succession by Mojtaba Khamenei have shifted the @khamenei_ir account toward infrequent reposts of archival statements rather than new content. Trader consensus at under five posts for August 4–11 reflects this established low-volume pattern, with recent activity limited to occasional written messages on religious commemorations and foreign policy themes. The account’s emphasis on prepared statements over real-time engagement sustains the high probability. A sudden escalation in regional conflict or major domestic announcement could prompt additional direct posts, potentially altering the count within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Обсяг
$29,172Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/khamenei_irВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: Yes
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Yes
Ali Khamenei’s assassination in March 2026 and succession by Mojtaba Khamenei have shifted the @khamenei_ir account toward infrequent reposts of archival statements rather than new content. Trader consensus at under five posts for August 4–11 reflects this established low-volume pattern, with recent activity limited to occasional written messages on religious commemorations and foreign policy themes. The account’s emphasis on prepared statements over real-time engagement sustains the high probability. A sudden escalation in regional conflict or major domestic announcement could prompt additional direct posts, potentially altering the count within the resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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