Vote counting on May 4 for the Kerala Legislative Assembly election, held April 9 with 79.7% turnout, confirms the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) securing a decisive majority of 102 seats out of 140, including 63 for INC, ousting the incumbent Left Democratic Front (LDF) after two terms. This shift reflects strong anti-incumbency against LDF Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan's government amid governance critiques, bolstered by UDF's "Puthuyuga Yathra" campaign and exit polls predicting 82-94 UDF seats. Trader consensus prices INC at 100% as the election winner, embodying UDF's path to forming the next majority government. Realistic challenges are minimal—only unprecedented legal disputes, recounts, or defections could alter outcomes, though clear margins make this improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоKerala Legislative Assembly Election Winner
Kerala Legislative Assembly Election Winner
INC 100.0%
BSP <1%
CPI <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$472,181 Обс.
$472,181 Обс.
Apr 9, 2026
BSP
No
INC
Yes
CPI
No
CPI(M)
No
JD(S)
No
RSP
No
KEC(M)
No
BJP
No
NCP
No
IUML
No
INC 100.0%
BSP <1%
CPI <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$472,181 Обс.
$472,181 Обс.
Apr 9, 2026
BSP
$20,219 Обс.
No
INC
$109,121 Обс.
Yes
CPI
$38,089 Обс.
No
CPI(M)
$100,816 Обс.
No
JD(S)
$26,669 Обс.
No
RSP
$17,062 Обс.
No
KEC(M)
$16,092 Обс.
No
BJP
$72,214 Обс.
No
NCP
$51,260 Обс.
No
IUML
$20,639 Обс.
No
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Vote counting on May 4 for the Kerala Legislative Assembly election, held April 9 with 79.7% turnout, confirms the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) securing a decisive majority of 102 seats out of 140, including 63 for INC, ousting the incumbent Left Democratic Front (LDF) after two terms. This shift reflects strong anti-incumbency against LDF Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan's government amid governance critiques, bolstered by UDF's "Puthuyuga Yathra" campaign and exit polls predicting 82-94 UDF seats. Trader consensus prices INC at 100% as the election winner, embodying UDF's path to forming the next majority government. Realistic challenges are minimal—only unprecedented legal disputes, recounts, or defections could alter outcomes, though clear margins make this improbable.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ET
Обсяг
$472,181Дата завершення
Apr 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Vote counting on May 4 for the Kerala Legislative Assembly election, held April 9 with 79.7% turnout, confirms the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) securing a decisive majority of 102 seats out of 140, including 63 for INC, ousting the incumbent Left Democratic Front (LDF) after two terms. This shift reflects strong anti-incumbency against LDF Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan's government amid governance critiques, bolstered by UDF's "Puthuyuga Yathra" campaign and exit polls predicting 82-94 UDF seats. Trader consensus prices INC at 100% as the election winner, embodying UDF's path to forming the next majority government. Realistic challenges are minimal—only unprecedented legal disputes, recounts, or defections could alter outcomes, though clear margins make this improbable.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Обсяг
$472,181Дата завершення
Apr 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Vote counting on May 4 for the Kerala Legislative Assembly election, held April 9 with 79.7% turnout, confirms the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) securing a decisive majority of 102 seats out of 140, including 63 for INC, ousting the incumbent Left Democratic Front (LDF) after two terms. This shift reflects strong anti-incumbency against LDF Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan's government amid governance critiques, bolstered by UDF's "Puthuyuga Yathra" campaign and exit polls predicting 82-94 UDF seats. Trader consensus prices INC at 100% as the election winner, embodying UDF's path to forming the next majority government. Realistic challenges are minimal—only unprecedented legal disputes, recounts, or defections could alter outcomes, though clear margins make this improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання