Recent polling for the Reservists–New Economic Party ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election shows it hovering near or below the 3.25% electoral threshold, with projections ranging from zero to five seats across major surveys. Consistent four-seat showings in Maariv and Channel 12 polls contrast with sub-threshold results in Channel 14 and i24NEWS surveys, while Israel Hayom placed it at five seats. The party’s alliance with the New Economic Party, focus on universal military service, and efforts at surplus vote agreements with other Zionist lists have not produced clear momentum amid competition for centrist and reservist support. This mixed data and volatility near the threshold underpin the current trader consensus on lower vote shares.