Recent U.S.-Iran negotiations produced a preliminary framework agreement on June 15, 2026, focused on extending a ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and deferring detailed nuclear talks—including uranium enrichment levels and the disposition of Iran's highly enriched stockpile—for a subsequent 60-day period. The memorandum is slated for formalization around June 19 in Switzerland, with provisions for IAEA-supervised down-blending or removal of material, yet Iran continues to assert its right to enrichment under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty while rejecting permanent zero-enrichment demands. U.S. statements emphasize stockpile removal and verification mechanisms, but core gaps on future enrichment capacity remain unresolved before the June 30 deadline. This tight timeline and competing red lines sustain a closely balanced trader consensus around even odds for any agreement explicitly ending enrichment by month-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоІран погоджується припинити збагачення урану до 30 червня?
Іран погоджується припинити збагачення урану до 30 червня?
Так
$12,362,414 Обс.
$12,362,414 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
Так
$12,362,414 Обс.
$12,362,414 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent U.S.-Iran negotiations produced a preliminary framework agreement on June 15, 2026, focused on extending a ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and deferring detailed nuclear talks—including uranium enrichment levels and the disposition of Iran's highly enriched stockpile—for a subsequent 60-day period. The memorandum is slated for formalization around June 19 in Switzerland, with provisions for IAEA-supervised down-blending or removal of material, yet Iran continues to assert its right to enrichment under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty while rejecting permanent zero-enrichment demands. U.S. statements emphasize stockpile removal and verification mechanisms, but core gaps on future enrichment capacity remain unresolved before the June 30 deadline. This tight timeline and competing red lines sustain a closely balanced trader consensus around even odds for any agreement explicitly ending enrichment by month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Обсяг
$12,362,414Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Результат запропоновано: Ні
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Ні
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent U.S.-Iran negotiations produced a preliminary framework agreement on June 15, 2026, focused on extending a ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and deferring detailed nuclear talks—including uranium enrichment levels and the disposition of Iran's highly enriched stockpile—for a subsequent 60-day period. The memorandum is slated for formalization around June 19 in Switzerland, with provisions for IAEA-supervised down-blending or removal of material, yet Iran continues to assert its right to enrichment under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty while rejecting permanent zero-enrichment demands. U.S. statements emphasize stockpile removal and verification mechanisms, but core gaps on future enrichment capacity remain unresolved before the June 30 deadline. This tight timeline and competing red lines sustain a closely balanced trader consensus around even odds for any agreement explicitly ending enrichment by month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$12,362,414Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Результат запропоновано: Ні
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Ні
Recent U.S.-Iran negotiations produced a preliminary framework agreement on June 15, 2026, focused on extending a ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and deferring detailed nuclear talks—including uranium enrichment levels and the disposition of Iran's highly enriched stockpile—for a subsequent 60-day period. The memorandum is slated for formalization around June 19 in Switzerland, with provisions for IAEA-supervised down-blending or removal of material, yet Iran continues to assert its right to enrichment under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty while rejecting permanent zero-enrichment demands. U.S. statements emphasize stockpile removal and verification mechanisms, but core gaps on future enrichment capacity remain unresolved before the June 30 deadline. This tight timeline and competing red lines sustain a closely balanced trader consensus around even odds for any agreement explicitly ending enrichment by month-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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