Skip to main content
icon for IL-09 Democratic Primary Winner
Політика·Первинні

IL-09 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for IL-09 Democratic Primary Winner
Політика·Первинні

IL-09 Democratic Primary Winner

Daniel Biss 100.0%

Kate Abughazaleh <1%

Jan Schakowsky <1%

Laura Fine <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Обс.

Daniel Biss 100.0%

Kate Abughazaleh <1%

Jan Schakowsky <1%

Laura Fine <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Обс.

Kate Abughazaleh

$0 Обс.

No

Jan Schakowsky

$0 Обс.

No

Daniel Biss

$0 Обс.

Yes

Laura Fine

$0 Обс.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 17, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Daniel Biss's commanding 100% trader consensus in the Illinois 9th Congressional District Democratic primary stems from his decisive victory on March 19, 2024, capturing 53% of the vote against Kate Abughazaleh's 22% and Laura Fine's 16%, with incumbent Jan Schakowsky retiring after 14 terms. Pre-election polls consistently showed Biss leading, bolstered by strong fundraising—over $3 million raised—and key endorsements from labor unions and progressive groups. This skin-in-the-game pricing reflects certified results from the Illinois State Board of Elections, with negligible volume on challengers. Realistic challenges, such as a recount or legal dispute, appear improbable given the 30+ point margin, though final certification could theoretically shift odds if anomalies emerge.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 17, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$0
Дата завершення
Mar 17, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 17, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Результат запропоновано: Yes

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: Yes

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 17, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Daniel Biss's commanding 100% trader consensus in the Illinois 9th Congressional District Democratic primary stems from his decisive victory on March 19, 2024, capturing 53% of the vote against Kate Abughazaleh's 22% and Laura Fine's 16%, with incumbent Jan Schakowsky retiring after 14 terms. Pre-election polls consistently showed Biss leading, bolstered by strong fundraising—over $3 million raised—and key endorsements from labor unions and progressive groups. This skin-in-the-game pricing reflects certified results from the Illinois State Board of Elections, with negligible volume on challengers. Realistic challenges, such as a recount or legal dispute, appear improbable given the 30+ point margin, though final certification could theoretically shift odds if anomalies emerge.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 17, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$0
Дата завершення
Mar 17, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 17, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Результат запропоновано: Yes

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: Yes

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«IL-09 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 4 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Daniel Biss» з 100%, далі «Kate Abughazaleh» з 0%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«IL-09 Democratic Primary Winner» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Nov 25, 2025. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «IL-09 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 4 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «IL-09 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Daniel Biss» з 100%. Наступний — «Kate Abughazaleh» з 0%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «IL-09 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.