Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez faces Republican Angel Oakley in the November 2026 general election for Illinois’s 3rd congressional district, a seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters with a D+17 partisan voting index. Ramirez secured 67.3% of the vote in 2024, reflecting the district’s consistent Democratic margins across northwestern Chicago neighborhoods and adjacent suburbs. Both major-party primaries concluded uncontested in March 2026, leaving Ramirez with the advantages of incumbency and established local support. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee a 94% implied probability of victory, driven by these structural factors. A national Republican surge, major candidate developments, or significant shifts in turnout patterns could still narrow the margin before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIL-03 House Election Winner
IL-03 House Election Winner
$36,327 Обс.
$36,327 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
5%
$36,327 Обс.
$36,327 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,869 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$21,459 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez faces Republican Angel Oakley in the November 2026 general election for Illinois’s 3rd congressional district, a seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters with a D+17 partisan voting index. Ramirez secured 67.3% of the vote in 2024, reflecting the district’s consistent Democratic margins across northwestern Chicago neighborhoods and adjacent suburbs. Both major-party primaries concluded uncontested in March 2026, leaving Ramirez with the advantages of incumbency and established local support. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee a 94% implied probability of victory, driven by these structural factors. A national Republican surge, major candidate developments, or significant shifts in turnout patterns could still narrow the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Обсяг
$36,327Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez faces Republican Angel Oakley in the November 2026 general election for Illinois’s 3rd congressional district, a seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters with a D+17 partisan voting index. Ramirez secured 67.3% of the vote in 2024, reflecting the district’s consistent Democratic margins across northwestern Chicago neighborhoods and adjacent suburbs. Both major-party primaries concluded uncontested in March 2026, leaving Ramirez with the advantages of incumbency and established local support. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee a 94% implied probability of victory, driven by these structural factors. A national Republican surge, major candidate developments, or significant shifts in turnout patterns could still narrow the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$36,327Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez faces Republican Angel Oakley in the November 2026 general election for Illinois’s 3rd congressional district, a seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters with a D+17 partisan voting index. Ramirez secured 67.3% of the vote in 2024, reflecting the district’s consistent Democratic margins across northwestern Chicago neighborhoods and adjacent suburbs. Both major-party primaries concluded uncontested in March 2026, leaving Ramirez with the advantages of incumbency and established local support. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee a 94% implied probability of victory, driven by these structural factors. A national Republican surge, major candidate developments, or significant shifts in turnout patterns could still narrow the margin before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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