The heavily Democratic composition of Illinois' 2nd congressional district, which delivered consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in prior cycles, underpins the market's assessment of the November 2026 general election. Donna Miller's March 17 primary victory over a crowded field, including Jesse Jackson Jr., established her as the nominee in the open seat previously held by Robin Kelly. The Republican nominee, Mike Noack, advances from an uncontested primary but confronts structural headwinds in voter registration and historical turnout patterns. Trader consensus aligns with these district fundamentals while leaving room for shifts from events such as candidate-specific controversies or broader national political movements before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIL-02 House Election Winner
IL-02 House Election Winner
$30,934 Обс.
$30,934 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$30,934 Обс.
$30,934 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$12,430 Обс.
95%
Republican Party
$18,505 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic composition of Illinois' 2nd congressional district, which delivered consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in prior cycles, underpins the market's assessment of the November 2026 general election. Donna Miller's March 17 primary victory over a crowded field, including Jesse Jackson Jr., established her as the nominee in the open seat previously held by Robin Kelly. The Republican nominee, Mike Noack, advances from an uncontested primary but confronts structural headwinds in voter registration and historical turnout patterns. Trader consensus aligns with these district fundamentals while leaving room for shifts from events such as candidate-specific controversies or broader national political movements before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Обсяг
$30,934Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic composition of Illinois' 2nd congressional district, which delivered consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in prior cycles, underpins the market's assessment of the November 2026 general election. Donna Miller's March 17 primary victory over a crowded field, including Jesse Jackson Jr., established her as the nominee in the open seat previously held by Robin Kelly. The Republican nominee, Mike Noack, advances from an uncontested primary but confronts structural headwinds in voter registration and historical turnout patterns. Trader consensus aligns with these district fundamentals while leaving room for shifts from events such as candidate-specific controversies or broader national political movements before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$30,934Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic composition of Illinois' 2nd congressional district, which delivered consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in prior cycles, underpins the market's assessment of the November 2026 general election. Donna Miller's March 17 primary victory over a crowded field, including Jesse Jackson Jr., established her as the nominee in the open seat previously held by Robin Kelly. The Republican nominee, Mike Noack, advances from an uncontested primary but confronts structural headwinds in voter registration and historical turnout patterns. Trader consensus aligns with these district fundamentals while leaving room for shifts from events such as candidate-specific controversies or broader national political movements before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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