Idaho's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, as evidenced by the incumbent Mike Simpson's consistent re-election margins and the Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating. Simpson secured the Republican nomination in the May 19, 2026, primary with roughly 63 percent of the vote, while Democrat Elinor Gilbreath advanced unopposed in substance on her side. Traders assign the Republican Party a 92.5 percent implied probability of victory in the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's voting patterns in eastern and northern Idaho along with the absence of competitive challengers. A major scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or unprecedented national Democratic surge within the next five months could alter the outcome, though such factors have not materialized in recent cycles.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоID-02 House Election Winner
ID-02 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$3,049 Обс.
93%
Democratic Party
$3,409 Обс.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, as evidenced by the incumbent Mike Simpson's consistent re-election margins and the Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating. Simpson secured the Republican nomination in the May 19, 2026, primary with roughly 63 percent of the vote, while Democrat Elinor Gilbreath advanced unopposed in substance on her side. Traders assign the Republican Party a 92.5 percent implied probability of victory in the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's voting patterns in eastern and northern Idaho along with the absence of competitive challengers. A major scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or unprecedented national Democratic surge within the next five months could alter the outcome, though such factors have not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,458Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, as evidenced by the incumbent Mike Simpson's consistent re-election margins and the Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating. Simpson secured the Republican nomination in the May 19, 2026, primary with roughly 63 percent of the vote, while Democrat Elinor Gilbreath advanced unopposed in substance on her side. Traders assign the Republican Party a 92.5 percent implied probability of victory in the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's voting patterns in eastern and northern Idaho along with the absence of competitive challengers. A major scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or unprecedented national Democratic surge within the next five months could alter the outcome, though such factors have not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$6,458Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, as evidenced by the incumbent Mike Simpson's consistent re-election margins and the Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating. Simpson secured the Republican nomination in the May 19, 2026, primary with roughly 63 percent of the vote, while Democrat Elinor Gilbreath advanced unopposed in substance on her side. Traders assign the Republican Party a 92.5 percent implied probability of victory in the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's voting patterns in eastern and northern Idaho along with the absence of competitive challengers. A major scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or unprecedented national Democratic surge within the next five months could alter the outcome, though such factors have not materialized in recent cycles.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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