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icon for IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?

icon for IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?

$376,290 Обс.

Oct 31, 2026
Polymarket

$376,290 Обс.

Polymarket

October 31

$84,357 Обс.

4%

December 31

$38,534 Обс.

14%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s refusal to grant IAEA inspectors access to the Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz enrichment sites since the June 2025 U.S. and Israeli strikes has left the agency without verification of highly enriched uranium stockpiles or facility status at those locations. Subsequent attacks in February 2026 further damaged infrastructure, after which Tehran cited safety concerns and the need for a comprehensive U.S.-Iran agreement including sanctions relief before resuming visits. An interim understanding discussed in June 2026 produced no on-site inspections, and Iranian officials have consistently conditioned access on broader negotiations. As of September 2026, the IAEA Board referred Iran’s safeguards noncompliance to the UN Security Council, while Director General Grossi has urged urgent resumption of verification activities. Ongoing construction at nearby sites like Pickaxe Mountain and stalled modalities talks continue to shape assessments of near-term inspector entry.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.

IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.

A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$376,290
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s refusal to grant IAEA inspectors access to the Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz enrichment sites since the June 2025 U.S. and Israeli strikes has left the agency without verification of highly enriched uranium stockpiles or facility status at those locations. Subsequent attacks in February 2026 further damaged infrastructure, after which Tehran cited safety concerns and the need for a comprehensive U.S.-Iran agreement including sanctions relief before resuming visits. An interim understanding discussed in June 2026 produced no on-site inspections, and Iranian officials have consistently conditioned access on broader negotiations. As of September 2026, the IAEA Board referred Iran’s safeguards noncompliance to the UN Security Council, while Director General Grossi has urged urgent resumption of verification activities. Ongoing construction at nearby sites like Pickaxe Mountain and stalled modalities talks continue to shape assessments of near-term inspector entry.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.

IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.

A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$376,290
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 4 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «December 31» з 14%, далі «October 31» з 4%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?» згенерував $376.3K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jun 24, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?», перегляньте 4 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?» — «December 31» з 14%. Наступний — «October 31» з 4%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.