Skip to main content

Щоб торгувати в США, перейдіть на polymarket.us

icon for Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?
Політика·Китай

Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?

icon for Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?
Політика·Китай

Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?

8% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
8% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Hu Jintao, the 83-year-old former Chinese Communist Party general secretary, has not made a confirmed public appearance since being escorted from the 20th Party Congress in October 2022, an episode officially attributed to health concerns. He remained absent from major 2025–2026 events attended by other retired elders, including the September 2025 Victory Day parade and the August 2026 commemoration of Jiang Zemin’s centenary, where Wen Jiabao and others were present. Reports of further health deterioration in mid-2026, combined with his advanced age and the absence of any state media sightings or official indications of recovery sufficient for public events, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring no appearance by year-end. Unverified rumors have circulated periodically but lack confirmation from primary sources.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Обсяг
$5,496
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 1:21 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Hu Jintao, the 83-year-old former Chinese Communist Party general secretary, has not made a confirmed public appearance since being escorted from the 20th Party Congress in October 2022, an episode officially attributed to health concerns. He remained absent from major 2025–2026 events attended by other retired elders, including the September 2025 Victory Day parade and the August 2026 commemoration of Jiang Zemin’s centenary, where Wen Jiabao and others were present. Reports of further health deterioration in mid-2026, combined with his advanced age and the absence of any state media sightings or official indications of recovery sufficient for public events, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring no appearance by year-end. Unverified rumors have circulated periodically but lack confirmation from primary sources.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Обсяг
$5,496
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 1:21 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Пов'язане

icon for Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?

Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?

9%
icon for Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

8%
icon for Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?

Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?

1%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 8% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 8¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 8%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Aug 13, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?» — 8% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 8% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.