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icon for April 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

April 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

icon for April 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

April 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

<1.14 0

1.14-1.19 0

1.20-1.25 0

1.26-1.31 0

Polymarket

$334,853 Обс.

<1.14 0

1.14-1.19 0

1.20-1.25 0

1.26-1.31 0

Polymarket

$334,853 Обс.

icon for <1.14

<1.14

$26,939 Обс.

No

icon for 1.14-1.19

1.14-1.19

$63,629 Обс.

No

icon for 1.20-1.25

1.20-1.25

$98,020 Обс.

No

icon for 1.26-1.31

1.26-1.31

$48,763 Обс.

No

icon for >1.31

>1.31

$97,501 Обс.

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.14°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of less than 1.14°C for April 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for April 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for April 2024 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2024 shows an increase of between 1.14°C (inclusive) and 1.19°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.14°C (inclusive) and 1.19°C (inclusive) for April 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for April 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for April 2024 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No."This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2024 shows an increase of between 1.20°C (inclusive) and 1.25°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.20°C (inclusive) and 1.25°C (inclusive) for April 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for April 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for April 2024 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No."This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2024 shows an increase of between 1.26°C (inclusive) and 1.31°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.26°C (inclusive) and 1.31°C (inclusive) for April 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for April 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for April 2024 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No."This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2024 shows an increase of greater than 1.31°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of greater than 1.31°C for April 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for April 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for April 2024 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No."

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.14°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An anomaly of less than 1.14°C for April 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for April 2024 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for April 2024 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".
Обсяг
$334,853
Дата завершення
May 1, 2024
Ринок відкрито
Apr 10, 2024, 8:19 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.14°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of less than 1.14°C for April 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for April 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for April 2024 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.14°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of less than 1.14°C for April 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for April 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for April 2024 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2024 shows an increase of between 1.14°C (inclusive) and 1.19°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.14°C (inclusive) and 1.19°C (inclusive) for April 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for April 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for April 2024 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No."This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2024 shows an increase of between 1.20°C (inclusive) and 1.25°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.20°C (inclusive) and 1.25°C (inclusive) for April 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for April 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for April 2024 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No."This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2024 shows an increase of between 1.26°C (inclusive) and 1.31°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.26°C (inclusive) and 1.31°C (inclusive) for April 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for April 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for April 2024 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No."This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2024 shows an increase of greater than 1.31°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of greater than 1.31°C for April 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for April 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for April 2024 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No."

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.14°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An anomaly of less than 1.14°C for April 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for April 2024 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for April 2024 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".
Обсяг
$334,853
Дата завершення
May 1, 2024
Ринок відкрито
Apr 10, 2024, 8:19 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.14°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of less than 1.14°C for April 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for April 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for April 2024 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«April 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «>1.31» з 100%, далі «<1.14» з 0%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «April 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)» згенерував $334.9K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Apr 11, 2024. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «April 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «April 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)» — «>1.31» з 100%. Наступний — «<1.14» з 0%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «April 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.