Skip to main content
icon for How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

icon for How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Dec 31

Dec 31

$237,177 Обс.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$237,177 Обс.

Polymarket

4.8%

$50,479 Обс.

38%

5.0%

$57,966 Обс.

15%

5.2%

$14,061 Обс.

7%

5.5%

$2,305 Обс.

6%

5.7%

$3,779 Обс.

5%

6.0%

$2,301 Обс.

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent data show the 10-year Treasury yield trading near 4.49% as of mid-June 2026, supported by sticky core inflation readings above the Fed’s 2% target and expectations for a measured pace of policy easing. Heavy Treasury issuance amid fiscal deficits has elevated term premiums, while geopolitical tensions influencing oil prices add upside risks to inflation expectations. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus that yields could test recent highs near 4.7% before year-end, though forecasts from sources like the CBO point to gradual moderation toward 4.1% by late 2026 if growth slows. Key near-term catalysts include the June FOMC meeting, upcoming CPI releases, and any shifts in labor market data that could alter rate-cut trajectories.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Обсяг
$237,177
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent data show the 10-year Treasury yield trading near 4.49% as of mid-June 2026, supported by sticky core inflation readings above the Fed’s 2% target and expectations for a measured pace of policy easing. Heavy Treasury issuance amid fiscal deficits has elevated term premiums, while geopolitical tensions influencing oil prices add upside risks to inflation expectations. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus that yields could test recent highs near 4.7% before year-end, though forecasts from sources like the CBO point to gradual moderation toward 4.1% by late 2026 if growth slows. Key near-term catalysts include the June FOMC meeting, upcoming CPI releases, and any shifts in labor market data that could alter rate-cut trajectories.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Обсяг
$237,177
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 10 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «4.3%» з 100%, далі «4.4%» з 100%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?» згенерував $237.2K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 12, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?», перегляньте 10 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?» — «4.3%» з 100%. Наступний — «4.4%» з 100%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.