Recent data show the 10-year Treasury yield trading near 4.49% as of mid-June 2026, supported by sticky core inflation readings above the Fed’s 2% target and expectations for a measured pace of policy easing. Heavy Treasury issuance amid fiscal deficits has elevated term premiums, while geopolitical tensions influencing oil prices add upside risks to inflation expectations. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus that yields could test recent highs near 4.7% before year-end, though forecasts from sources like the CBO point to gradual moderation toward 4.1% by late 2026 if growth slows. Key near-term catalysts include the June FOMC meeting, upcoming CPI releases, and any shifts in labor market data that could alter rate-cut trajectories.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$237,177 Обс.
4.8%
38%
5.0%
15%
5.2%
7%
5.5%
6%
5.7%
5%
6.0%
3%
$237,177 Обс.
4.8%
38%
5.0%
15%
5.2%
7%
5.5%
6%
5.7%
5%
6.0%
3%
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Ринок відкрито: Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent data show the 10-year Treasury yield trading near 4.49% as of mid-June 2026, supported by sticky core inflation readings above the Fed’s 2% target and expectations for a measured pace of policy easing. Heavy Treasury issuance amid fiscal deficits has elevated term premiums, while geopolitical tensions influencing oil prices add upside risks to inflation expectations. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus that yields could test recent highs near 4.7% before year-end, though forecasts from sources like the CBO point to gradual moderation toward 4.1% by late 2026 if growth slows. Key near-term catalysts include the June FOMC meeting, upcoming CPI releases, and any shifts in labor market data that could alter rate-cut trajectories.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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