Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's total prison time, with 20-30 years (33.1%) edging out no prison time (22.8%) amid his ongoing third New York rape retrial for the 2013 assault on Jessica Mann. The once-Hollywood powerhouse, serving a confirmed 16-year California conviction from 2023, faces a narrow third-degree rape charge carrying up to four years if convicted—potentially consecutive—but prior New York verdicts were overturned on appeal for unfair trial claims involving uncharged acts testimony. Jessica Mann wrapped tense five-day testimony May 1, shifting focus to deliberations; a skeptical April appellate panel in Los Angeles bolsters his 16-year baseline. At 73 and health-compromised, traders weigh #MeToo momentum against acquittal risks and plea possibilities, with verdict imminent as the key swing factor.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоГарві Вайнштейн у в 'язниці?
Гарві Вайнштейн у в 'язниці?
20-30 років 33.1%
Без тюремного ув’язнення 23.1%
Понад 30 років 13.2%
10-20 years 12.2%
$915,590 Обс.
$915,590 Обс.
Без тюремного ув’язнення
23%
<5 years
6%
5–10 років
5%
10-20 years
12%
20-30 років
33%
Понад 30 років
13%
20-30 років 33.1%
Без тюремного ув’язнення 23.1%
Понад 30 років 13.2%
10-20 years 12.2%
$915,590 Обс.
$915,590 Обс.
Без тюремного ув’язнення
23%
<5 years
6%
5–10 років
5%
10-20 years
12%
20-30 років
33%
Понад 30 років
13%
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's total prison time, with 20-30 years (33.1%) edging out no prison time (22.8%) amid his ongoing third New York rape retrial for the 2013 assault on Jessica Mann. The once-Hollywood powerhouse, serving a confirmed 16-year California conviction from 2023, faces a narrow third-degree rape charge carrying up to four years if convicted—potentially consecutive—but prior New York verdicts were overturned on appeal for unfair trial claims involving uncharged acts testimony. Jessica Mann wrapped tense five-day testimony May 1, shifting focus to deliberations; a skeptical April appellate panel in Los Angeles bolsters his 16-year baseline. At 73 and health-compromised, traders weigh #MeToo momentum against acquittal risks and plea possibilities, with verdict imminent as the key swing factor.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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