Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's total prison time amid his ongoing third New York rape retrial, where prosecutors rested their case last week after key testimony from accuser Jessica Mann, leaving the wheelchair-bound 74-year-old facing potential additional sentencing atop his confirmed 16-year California conviction for rape and sexual assault. The leading 20-30 years implied probability stems from traders pricing in a likely conviction adding 10-15 years to his existing terms, bolstered by a prior 2025 New York guilty verdict on criminal sexual assault, while "No Prison Time" gains traction from his age, health woes, and successful appeals overturning the original 23-year sentence. Momentum hinges on jury deliberations and post-verdict sentencing guidelines, with historical #MeToo case volatility underscoring rapid shifts possible before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоГарві Вайнштейн у в 'язниці?
Гарві Вайнштейн у в 'язниці?
20-30 років 33.1%
Без тюремного ув’язнення 22.8%
Понад 30 років 13.0%
10-20 years 12.2%
$915,590 Обс.
$915,590 Обс.
Без тюремного ув’язнення
23%
<5 years
6%
5–10 років
5%
10-20 years
12%
20-30 років
33%
Понад 30 років
13%
20-30 років 33.1%
Без тюремного ув’язнення 22.8%
Понад 30 років 13.0%
10-20 years 12.2%
$915,590 Обс.
$915,590 Обс.
Без тюремного ув’язнення
23%
<5 years
6%
5–10 років
5%
10-20 years
12%
20-30 років
33%
Понад 30 років
13%
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's total prison time amid his ongoing third New York rape retrial, where prosecutors rested their case last week after key testimony from accuser Jessica Mann, leaving the wheelchair-bound 74-year-old facing potential additional sentencing atop his confirmed 16-year California conviction for rape and sexual assault. The leading 20-30 years implied probability stems from traders pricing in a likely conviction adding 10-15 years to his existing terms, bolstered by a prior 2025 New York guilty verdict on criminal sexual assault, while "No Prison Time" gains traction from his age, health woes, and successful appeals overturning the original 23-year sentence. Momentum hinges on jury deliberations and post-verdict sentencing guidelines, with historical #MeToo case volatility underscoring rapid shifts possible before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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