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icon for Gemini 3.2 released on...?
Технологія·AI

Gemini 3.2 released on...?

icon for Gemini 3.2 released on...?
Технологія·AI

Gemini 3.2 released on...?

May 19 100.0%

On or prior to May 6 <1%

May 7 <1%

May 8 <1%

Polymarket

$573,233 Обс.

May 19 100.0%

On or prior to May 6 <1%

May 7 <1%

May 8 <1%

Polymarket

$573,233 Обс.

On or prior to May 6

$1,436 Обс.

No

May 7

$794 Обс.

No

May 8

$810 Обс.

No

May 9

$2,787 Обс.

No

May 10

$3,902 Обс.

No

May 11

$9,023 Обс.

No

May 12

$8,126 Обс.

No

May 13

$3,373 Обс.

No

May 14

$3,770 Обс.

No

May 15

$7,549 Обс.

No

May 16

$7,921 Обс.

No

May 17

$17,939 Обс.

No

May 18

$83,924 Обс.

No

May 19

$254,109 Обс.

Yes

May 20

$38,470 Обс.

No

May 21

$29,024 Обс.

No

May 22

$17,548 Обс.

No

May 23

$5,915 Обс.

No

May 24

$5,906 Обс.

No

May 25

$4,317 Обс.

No

May 26

$5,547 Обс.

No

May 27

$8,238 Обс.

No

May 28

$7,560 Обс.

No

May 29

$3,395 Обс.

No

May 30

$7,228 Обс.

No

May 31

$6,604 Обс.

No

No release by May 31

$28,020 Обс.

No

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public. Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market). Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s Google I/O conference opening today drives the near-certain trader consensus around a May 19 release for Gemini 3.2, the latest iteration in the company’s large language model lineup. Recent leaks of model identifiers in AI Studio logs, Gemini app metadata, and LM Arena benchmarks mirror the exact pattern that preceded the February 19 launch of Gemini 3.1 Pro, while insiders indicate a Flash variant optimized for speed and multimodal tasks will debut without a new Pro model. This fits Google’s stepped-up cadence of smaller, frequent updates aimed at narrowing gaps with OpenAI and Anthropic systems. A last-minute delay from integration issues or a shift to a May 20 announcement at the event remain the only realistic ways the market could move.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public.

Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).

Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$573,233
Дата завершення
May 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 5, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public. Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market). Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public. Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market). Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s Google I/O conference opening today drives the near-certain trader consensus around a May 19 release for Gemini 3.2, the latest iteration in the company’s large language model lineup. Recent leaks of model identifiers in AI Studio logs, Gemini app metadata, and LM Arena benchmarks mirror the exact pattern that preceded the February 19 launch of Gemini 3.1 Pro, while insiders indicate a Flash variant optimized for speed and multimodal tasks will debut without a new Pro model. This fits Google’s stepped-up cadence of smaller, frequent updates aimed at narrowing gaps with OpenAI and Anthropic systems. A last-minute delay from integration issues or a shift to a May 20 announcement at the event remain the only realistic ways the market could move.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public.

Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).

Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$573,233
Дата завершення
May 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 5, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public. Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market). Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Gemini 3.2 released on...?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 27 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «May 19» з 100%, далі «On or prior to May 6» з 0%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Gemini 3.2 released on...?» згенерував $573.2K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку May 5, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Gemini 3.2 released on...?», перегляньте 27 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Gemini 3.2 released on...?» — «May 19» з 100%. Наступний — «On or prior to May 6» з 0%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Gemini 3.2 released on...?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.