Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez faces limited opposition in Florida’s 28th congressional district, which encompasses the Florida Keys and southern Miami-Dade County areas including Homestead. Recent state redistricting signed into law in May 2026 produced minimal boundary shifts for this seat while preserving its strong Republican tilt, consistent with the broader map projected to yield a 24-4 GOP advantage statewide. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid Republican, aligning with Giménez’s 2024 reelection margin exceeding 29 points. Democratic primary contenders Phil Ehr and Hector Mujica have filed for the August 18 contest, yet face structural headwinds in a district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index favoring Republicans by double digits. Traders’ overwhelming preference for the Republican outcome reflects these entrenched electoral dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFL-28 House Election Winner
FL-28 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
90%
Democratic Party
10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,305 Обс.
90%
Democratic Party
$7,693 Обс.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez faces limited opposition in Florida’s 28th congressional district, which encompasses the Florida Keys and southern Miami-Dade County areas including Homestead. Recent state redistricting signed into law in May 2026 produced minimal boundary shifts for this seat while preserving its strong Republican tilt, consistent with the broader map projected to yield a 24-4 GOP advantage statewide. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid Republican, aligning with Giménez’s 2024 reelection margin exceeding 29 points. Democratic primary contenders Phil Ehr and Hector Mujica have filed for the August 18 contest, yet face structural headwinds in a district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index favoring Republicans by double digits. Traders’ overwhelming preference for the Republican outcome reflects these entrenched electoral dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,998Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez faces limited opposition in Florida’s 28th congressional district, which encompasses the Florida Keys and southern Miami-Dade County areas including Homestead. Recent state redistricting signed into law in May 2026 produced minimal boundary shifts for this seat while preserving its strong Republican tilt, consistent with the broader map projected to yield a 24-4 GOP advantage statewide. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid Republican, aligning with Giménez’s 2024 reelection margin exceeding 29 points. Democratic primary contenders Phil Ehr and Hector Mujica have filed for the August 18 contest, yet face structural headwinds in a district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index favoring Republicans by double digits. Traders’ overwhelming preference for the Republican outcome reflects these entrenched electoral dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$9,998Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez faces limited opposition in Florida’s 28th congressional district, which encompasses the Florida Keys and southern Miami-Dade County areas including Homestead. Recent state redistricting signed into law in May 2026 produced minimal boundary shifts for this seat while preserving its strong Republican tilt, consistent with the broader map projected to yield a 24-4 GOP advantage statewide. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid Republican, aligning with Giménez’s 2024 reelection margin exceeding 29 points. Democratic primary contenders Phil Ehr and Hector Mujica have filed for the August 18 contest, yet face structural headwinds in a district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index favoring Republicans by double digits. Traders’ overwhelming preference for the Republican outcome reflects these entrenched electoral dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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