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Вибори·Первинні

FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner
Вибори·Первинні

FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner

$19,695 Обс.

Polymarket

$19,695 Обс.

Jared Moskowitz

$9,032 Обс.

29%

Oliver Adams Larkin

$10,667 Обс.

26%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Florida's 23rd Congressional District Democratic primary set for August 18, trader consensus favors challenger Oliver Larkin at 32.5% over incumbent Jared Moskowitz at 27%, reflecting a tightening race despite Moskowitz's March poll lead of 45%-11% amid 44% undecideds. Larkin's recent momentum stems from April endorsements by the Progressive Change Campaign Committee, Progressive Democrats of America, and MPower Action, plus high-profile media hits like his Joy Reid Show appearance criticizing Moskowitz's Caterpillar stock trades linked to Israel aid sales—issues resonating with progressive voters concerned over foreign policy and ethics. Moskowitz retains incumbency, strong fundraising ($1.7 million raised through Q1), and moderate appeal in the coastal Broward-Palm Beach district, keeping the contest competitive. Separation could arise from Q2 fundraising disclosures, independent polls, or a debate showcasing turnout dynamics between grassroots progressives and establishment backers.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$19,695
Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Florida's 23rd Congressional District Democratic primary set for August 18, trader consensus favors challenger Oliver Larkin at 32.5% over incumbent Jared Moskowitz at 27%, reflecting a tightening race despite Moskowitz's March poll lead of 45%-11% amid 44% undecideds. Larkin's recent momentum stems from April endorsements by the Progressive Change Campaign Committee, Progressive Democrats of America, and MPower Action, plus high-profile media hits like his Joy Reid Show appearance criticizing Moskowitz's Caterpillar stock trades linked to Israel aid sales—issues resonating with progressive voters concerned over foreign policy and ethics. Moskowitz retains incumbency, strong fundraising ($1.7 million raised through Q1), and moderate appeal in the coastal Broward-Palm Beach district, keeping the contest competitive. Separation could arise from Q2 fundraising disclosures, independent polls, or a debate showcasing turnout dynamics between grassroots progressives and establishment backers.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$19,695
Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 2 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Jared Moskowitz» з 28%, далі «Oliver Adams Larkin» з 26%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner» згенерував $19.7K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Dec 19, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 2 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Jared Moskowitz» з 28%. Наступний — «Oliver Adams Larkin» з 26%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.