France's 70% implied probability as Group I winner reflects trader consensus on their defending champion pedigree, unmatched depth led by Kylian Mbappé and Ousmane Dembélé's blistering camp form, plus Didier Deschamps' tactical versatility honed in recent U.S.-based sessions despite Hugo Ekitike's season-ending Achilles injury on April 15. Norway's 20% stake stems from Erling Haaland's full-contact training return and their gritty qualifying heroics, including a late comeback versus Slovenia, positioning them as the primary challenger in a group advancing top two plus best thirds to the round of 32. Senegal trails at 6% amid Sadio Mané's leadership but faces stylistic hurdles against Europe's high-pressing favorites, with Iraq bundled in the negligible 0.1% after playoff qualification, as all squads prioritize venue acclimation and set-piece drills ahead of the June 16 MetLife opener.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFrance 70%
Norway 20%
Senegal 6%
BOL/IRQ/SUR <1%
$112,939 Обс.
$112,939 Обс.
France
70%
Norway
20%
Senegal
6%
BOL/IRQ/SUR
<1%
France 70%
Norway 20%
Senegal 6%
BOL/IRQ/SUR <1%
$112,939 Обс.
$112,939 Обс.
France
70%
Norway
20%
Senegal
6%
BOL/IRQ/SUR
<1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...France's 70% implied probability as Group I winner reflects trader consensus on their defending champion pedigree, unmatched depth led by Kylian Mbappé and Ousmane Dembélé's blistering camp form, plus Didier Deschamps' tactical versatility honed in recent U.S.-based sessions despite Hugo Ekitike's season-ending Achilles injury on April 15. Norway's 20% stake stems from Erling Haaland's full-contact training return and their gritty qualifying heroics, including a late comeback versus Slovenia, positioning them as the primary challenger in a group advancing top two plus best thirds to the round of 32. Senegal trails at 6% amid Sadio Mané's leadership but faces stylistic hurdles against Europe's high-pressing favorites, with Iraq bundled in the negligible 0.1% after playoff qualification, as all squads prioritize venue acclimation and set-piece drills ahead of the June 16 MetLife opener.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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