Mexico's status as co-host with multiple group-stage matches at Estadio Azteca underpins the 52% implied probability assigned by traders, bolstered by deeper squad options and home-soil familiarity despite uneven recent results. Czechia's late qualification via penalties over Denmark and South Korea's reliable international experience sustain their near-even 20-21% shares, reflecting balanced rosters capable of securing points in a compact four-team group. South Africa trails at under 6% as the lowest-ranked side, limited by historical struggles against similar opposition. The middle-pack tightness highlights how head-to-head results, defensive setups, and potential draws could still reshape advancement paths ahead of the June kickoff.