Republican majorities in Congress and the White House have advanced targeted proposals to adjust federal capital gains rules, including inflation indexing of basis and expanded exclusions for primary home sales, yet none have cleared the House Ways and Means Committee or reached enactment as of September 2026. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act of 2025 addressed other expiring provisions without broad rate reductions or indexing. With the midterm elections approaching and limited remaining legislative days, fiscal constraints and competing priorities have stalled momentum for changes that would lower rates or materially alter the current 0/15/20 percent structure. Traders therefore assign high probability to no net cut materializing before the end of the year.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено13% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
13% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal taxes individuals owe on long-term capital gains by changing how those gains are taxed or calculated is enacted into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying change does not need to apply to all taxpayers or all long-term capital gains. Legislation will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" if it directly reduces or eliminates federal tax owed on long-term capital gains for individuals generally or for a defined class of taxpayers or gains, including through a tax rate reduction, exemption or exclusion, change in applicable thresholds, change in how basis or gains are calculated, or another statutory mechanism. The qualifying change can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks will count. Changes that only defer when tax is paid, or that reduce a taxpayer's overall federal tax liability without specifically changing the taxation or calculation of long-term capital gains, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Republican majorities in Congress and the White House have advanced targeted proposals to adjust federal capital gains rules, including inflation indexing of basis and expanded exclusions for primary home sales, yet none have cleared the House Ways and Means Committee or reached enactment as of September 2026. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act of 2025 addressed other expiring provisions without broad rate reductions or indexing. With the midterm elections approaching and limited remaining legislative days, fiscal constraints and competing priorities have stalled momentum for changes that would lower rates or materially alter the current 0/15/20 percent structure. Traders therefore assign high probability to no net cut materializing before the end of the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal taxes individuals owe on long-term capital gains by changing how those gains are taxed or calculated is enacted into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying change does not need to apply to all taxpayers or all long-term capital gains. Legislation will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" if it directly reduces or eliminates federal tax owed on long-term capital gains for individuals generally or for a defined class of taxpayers or gains, including through a tax rate reduction, exemption or exclusion, change in applicable thresholds, change in how basis or gains are calculated, or another statutory mechanism. The qualifying change can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks will count. Changes that only defer when tax is paid, or that reduce a taxpayer's overall federal tax liability without specifically changing the taxation or calculation of long-term capital gains, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying change does not need to apply to all taxpayers or all long-term capital gains. Legislation will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" if it directly reduces or eliminates federal tax owed on long-term capital gains for individuals generally or for a defined class of taxpayers or gains, including through a tax rate reduction, exemption or exclusion, change in applicable thresholds, change in how basis or gains are calculated, or another statutory mechanism. The qualifying change can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks will count. Changes that only defer when tax is paid, or that reduce a taxpayer's overall federal tax liability without specifically changing the taxation or calculation of long-term capital gains, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET
Обсяг
$329Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal taxes individuals owe on long-term capital gains by changing how those gains are taxed or calculated is enacted into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying change does not need to apply to all taxpayers or all long-term capital gains. Legislation will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" if it directly reduces or eliminates federal tax owed on long-term capital gains for individuals generally or for a defined class of taxpayers or gains, including through a tax rate reduction, exemption or exclusion, change in applicable thresholds, change in how basis or gains are calculated, or another statutory mechanism. The qualifying change can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks will count. Changes that only defer when tax is paid, or that reduce a taxpayer's overall federal tax liability without specifically changing the taxation or calculation of long-term capital gains, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Republican majorities in Congress and the White House have advanced targeted proposals to adjust federal capital gains rules, including inflation indexing of basis and expanded exclusions for primary home sales, yet none have cleared the House Ways and Means Committee or reached enactment as of September 2026. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act of 2025 addressed other expiring provisions without broad rate reductions or indexing. With the midterm elections approaching and limited remaining legislative days, fiscal constraints and competing priorities have stalled momentum for changes that would lower rates or materially alter the current 0/15/20 percent structure. Traders therefore assign high probability to no net cut materializing before the end of the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal taxes individuals owe on long-term capital gains by changing how those gains are taxed or calculated is enacted into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying change does not need to apply to all taxpayers or all long-term capital gains. Legislation will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" if it directly reduces or eliminates federal tax owed on long-term capital gains for individuals generally or for a defined class of taxpayers or gains, including through a tax rate reduction, exemption or exclusion, change in applicable thresholds, change in how basis or gains are calculated, or another statutory mechanism. The qualifying change can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks will count. Changes that only defer when tax is paid, or that reduce a taxpayer's overall federal tax liability without specifically changing the taxation or calculation of long-term capital gains, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying change does not need to apply to all taxpayers or all long-term capital gains. Legislation will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" if it directly reduces or eliminates federal tax owed on long-term capital gains for individuals generally or for a defined class of taxpayers or gains, including through a tax rate reduction, exemption or exclusion, change in applicable thresholds, change in how basis or gains are calculated, or another statutory mechanism. The qualifying change can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks will count. Changes that only defer when tax is paid, or that reduce a taxpayer's overall federal tax liability without specifically changing the taxation or calculation of long-term capital gains, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$329Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Republican majorities in Congress and the White House have advanced targeted proposals to adjust federal capital gains rules, including inflation indexing of basis and expanded exclusions for primary home sales, yet none have cleared the House Ways and Means Committee or reached enactment as of September 2026. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act of 2025 addressed other expiring provisions without broad rate reductions or indexing. With the midterm elections approaching and limited remaining legislative days, fiscal constraints and competing priorities have stalled momentum for changes that would lower rates or materially alter the current 0/15/20 percent structure. Traders therefore assign high probability to no net cut materializing before the end of the year.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання