Recent Eurostat data showing euro area GDP expanding 0.6% quarter-on-quarter in Q2 2026, revised higher from an initial 0.4% estimate and supported by rebounds in household spending, fixed investment, and exports, has bolstered trader expectations for continued moderate momentum. August S&P Global flash PMIs, with the composite output index at 52.1, point to solid third-quarter expansion around 0.3% quarter-on-quarter, consistent with the market's 59% implied probability on the 0.8-1.1% range. Persistent energy price pressures from the Middle East conflict have elevated August headline inflation to 3.3% year-over-year, prompting expectations of further ECB tightening, while underlying resilience in services and manufacturing activity offsets some downside risks. Upcoming Q3 flash estimates and ECB communications remain key near-term catalysts shaping these aggregated trader odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено0.8-1.1% 59%
1.2-1.5% 18.9%
0.4-0.7% 14.2%
0.0-0.3% 1.0%
$60,720 Обс.
$60,720 Обс.
Oct 30, 2026
<0.0%
1%
0.0-0.3%
1%
0.4-0.7%
14%
0.8-1.1%
59%
1.2-1.5%
24%
1.6-1.9%
1%
2.0%+
1%
0.8-1.1% 59%
1.2-1.5% 18.9%
0.4-0.7% 14.2%
0.0-0.3% 1.0%
$60,720 Обс.
$60,720 Обс.
Oct 30, 2026
<0.0%
$1,651 Обс.
1%
0.0-0.3%
$1,480 Обс.
1%
0.4-0.7%
$9,848 Обс.
14%
0.8-1.1%
$41,431 Обс.
59%
1.2-1.5%
$3,496 Обс.
24%
1.6-1.9%
$1,545 Обс.
1%
2.0%+
$1,270 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Eurostat data showing euro area GDP expanding 0.6% quarter-on-quarter in Q2 2026, revised higher from an initial 0.4% estimate and supported by rebounds in household spending, fixed investment, and exports, has bolstered trader expectations for continued moderate momentum. August S&P Global flash PMIs, with the composite output index at 52.1, point to solid third-quarter expansion around 0.3% quarter-on-quarter, consistent with the market's 59% implied probability on the 0.8-1.1% range. Persistent energy price pressures from the Middle East conflict have elevated August headline inflation to 3.3% year-over-year, prompting expectations of further ECB tightening, while underlying resilience in services and manufacturing activity offsets some downside risks. Upcoming Q3 flash estimates and ECB communications remain key near-term catalysts shaping these aggregated trader odds.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Обсяг
$60,720Дата завершення
Oct 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Eurostat data showing euro area GDP expanding 0.6% quarter-on-quarter in Q2 2026, revised higher from an initial 0.4% estimate and supported by rebounds in household spending, fixed investment, and exports, has bolstered trader expectations for continued moderate momentum. August S&P Global flash PMIs, with the composite output index at 52.1, point to solid third-quarter expansion around 0.3% quarter-on-quarter, consistent with the market's 59% implied probability on the 0.8-1.1% range. Persistent energy price pressures from the Middle East conflict have elevated August headline inflation to 3.3% year-over-year, prompting expectations of further ECB tightening, while underlying resilience in services and manufacturing activity offsets some downside risks. Upcoming Q3 flash estimates and ECB communications remain key near-term catalysts shaping these aggregated trader odds.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$60,720Дата завершення
Oct 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent Eurostat data showing euro area GDP expanding 0.6% quarter-on-quarter in Q2 2026, revised higher from an initial 0.4% estimate and supported by rebounds in household spending, fixed investment, and exports, has bolstered trader expectations for continued moderate momentum. August S&P Global flash PMIs, with the composite output index at 52.1, point to solid third-quarter expansion around 0.3% quarter-on-quarter, consistent with the market's 59% implied probability on the 0.8-1.1% range. Persistent energy price pressures from the Middle East conflict have elevated August headline inflation to 3.3% year-over-year, prompting expectations of further ECB tightening, while underlying resilience in services and manufacturing activity offsets some downside risks. Upcoming Q3 flash estimates and ECB communications remain key near-term catalysts shaping these aggregated trader odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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