Eurozone growth forecasts for 2026 cluster near 0.8–1.0 percent amid an energy price shock tied to Middle East tensions, which has weighed on consumer confidence, industrial production, and net exports while lifting inflation risks. Official projections from the ECB Eurosystem staff, European Commission, OECD, and IMF all point to sub-1.5 percent expansion after 1.4–1.5 percent in 2025, with the 0–1.0 percent bracket commanding the highest market-implied probability. Q1 GDP contracted 0.2 percent quarter-over-quarter (distorted by Irish multinational activity), but Q2 rebounded to +0.4 percent, exceeding expectations. A provisional Iran-U.S. ceasefire agreement has eased Brent crude and European gas prices, modestly reducing downside risks, though momentum indicators remain soft and further policy or geopolitical developments could still shift the path.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено0-1.0% 68.6%
1.0-2.0% 25%
4.0-5.0% 4.3%
<0% 4.2%
$29,186 Обс.
$29,186 Обс.
Jan 31, 2027
<0%
4%
0-1.0%
69%
1.0-2.0%
25%
2.0-3.0%
2%
3.0-4.0%
<1%
4.0-5.0%
4%
5.0-6.0%
<1%
6.0-7.0%
<1%
7.0%+
<1%
0-1.0% 68.6%
1.0-2.0% 25%
4.0-5.0% 4.3%
<0% 4.2%
$29,186 Обс.
$29,186 Обс.
Jan 31, 2027
<0%
$1,618 Обс.
4%
0-1.0%
$10,989 Обс.
69%
1.0-2.0%
$6,957 Обс.
25%
2.0-3.0%
$1,126 Обс.
2%
3.0-4.0%
$1,042 Обс.
<1%
4.0-5.0%
$2,129 Обс.
4%
5.0-6.0%
$1,131 Обс.
<1%
6.0-7.0%
$2,594 Обс.
<1%
7.0%+
$1,601 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Eurozone growth forecasts for 2026 cluster near 0.8–1.0 percent amid an energy price shock tied to Middle East tensions, which has weighed on consumer confidence, industrial production, and net exports while lifting inflation risks. Official projections from the ECB Eurosystem staff, European Commission, OECD, and IMF all point to sub-1.5 percent expansion after 1.4–1.5 percent in 2025, with the 0–1.0 percent bracket commanding the highest market-implied probability. Q1 GDP contracted 0.2 percent quarter-over-quarter (distorted by Irish multinational activity), but Q2 rebounded to +0.4 percent, exceeding expectations. A provisional Iran-U.S. ceasefire agreement has eased Brent crude and European gas prices, modestly reducing downside risks, though momentum indicators remain soft and further policy or geopolitical developments could still shift the path.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Обсяг
$29,186Дата завершення
Jan 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Eurozone growth forecasts for 2026 cluster near 0.8–1.0 percent amid an energy price shock tied to Middle East tensions, which has weighed on consumer confidence, industrial production, and net exports while lifting inflation risks. Official projections from the ECB Eurosystem staff, European Commission, OECD, and IMF all point to sub-1.5 percent expansion after 1.4–1.5 percent in 2025, with the 0–1.0 percent bracket commanding the highest market-implied probability. Q1 GDP contracted 0.2 percent quarter-over-quarter (distorted by Irish multinational activity), but Q2 rebounded to +0.4 percent, exceeding expectations. A provisional Iran-U.S. ceasefire agreement has eased Brent crude and European gas prices, modestly reducing downside risks, though momentum indicators remain soft and further policy or geopolitical developments could still shift the path.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$29,186Дата завершення
Jan 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Eurozone growth forecasts for 2026 cluster near 0.8–1.0 percent amid an energy price shock tied to Middle East tensions, which has weighed on consumer confidence, industrial production, and net exports while lifting inflation risks. Official projections from the ECB Eurosystem staff, European Commission, OECD, and IMF all point to sub-1.5 percent expansion after 1.4–1.5 percent in 2025, with the 0–1.0 percent bracket commanding the highest market-implied probability. Q1 GDP contracted 0.2 percent quarter-over-quarter (distorted by Irish multinational activity), but Q2 rebounded to +0.4 percent, exceeding expectations. A provisional Iran-U.S. ceasefire agreement has eased Brent crude and European gas prices, modestly reducing downside risks, though momentum indicators remain soft and further policy or geopolitical developments could still shift the path.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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