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Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final

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Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final

$235,370 Обс.

May 14, 2026
Polymarket

$235,370 Обс.

Polymarket
Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Ukraine

$1,657 Обс.

95%

Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Australia

$11,862 Обс.

93%

Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Denmark

$714 Обс.

93%

Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Romania

$7,280 Обс.

84%

Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Bulgaria

$6,005 Обс.

83%

Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Cyprus

$17,121 Обс.

81%

Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Malta

$15,738 Обс.

75%

Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Czechia

$35,090 Обс.

71%

Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Norway

$4,932 Обс.

69%

Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Albania

$18,818 Обс.

59%

Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Latvia

$1,236 Обс.

53%

Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Switzerland

$74,454 Обс.

44%

Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Luxembourg

$22,275 Обс.

37%

Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Armenia

$12,278 Обс.

35%

Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Azerbaijan

$5,910 Обс.

11%

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Ukraine's Leléka with "Ridnym," Australia's Delta Goodrem with "Eclipse," and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund with "*Før vi går hjem*" to qualify from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final on May 14 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, implying over 94% probabilities driven by powerful entries blending emotive ballads, pop anthems, and jury-televote appeal. The April 2 running order reveal positioned these frontrunners in the advantageous late slots (10-12), boosting stage momentum amid previews highlighting their production polish and diaspora voting potential. Mid-tier contenders like Romania's "Choke Me" and Bulgaria's "Bangaranga" hold 84-86% odds on strong national final buzz, while Azerbaijan's early slot and weaker reception anchor it at 12%. First rehearsals next week could spark shifts before the top 10 advance to the May 16 Grand Final.

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Обсяг
$235,370
Дата завершення
May 14, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Ukraine's Leléka with "Ridnym," Australia's Delta Goodrem with "Eclipse," and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund with "*Før vi går hjem*" to qualify from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final on May 14 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, implying over 94% probabilities driven by powerful entries blending emotive ballads, pop anthems, and jury-televote appeal. The April 2 running order reveal positioned these frontrunners in the advantageous late slots (10-12), boosting stage momentum amid previews highlighting their production polish and diaspora voting potential. Mid-tier contenders like Romania's "Choke Me" and Bulgaria's "Bangaranga" hold 84-86% odds on strong national final buzz, while Azerbaijan's early slot and weaker reception anchor it at 12%. First rehearsals next week could spark shifts before the top 10 advance to the May 16 Grand Final.

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Обсяг
$235,370
Дата завершення
May 14, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 15 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Ukraine» з 95%, далі «Australia» з 93%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final» згенерував $235.4K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jan 16, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final», перегляньте 15 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final» — «Ukraine» з 95%. Наступний — «Australia» з 93%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.