Elon Musk’s verified posting volume on X from June 4–6, 2026, has settled squarely inside the 65–89 range, producing the market’s near-100% implied probability for that bucket. Traders track his account activity in real time, and the observed pace—shaped by ongoing commentary on SpaceX milestones, global news, and platform engagement—has consistently fallen within those parameters without major spikes or lulls. With the window nearly closed, the outcome is treated as effectively settled by direct count rather than speculation. An upset would require a substantial late surge or an unexpected change in how replies and reposts are tallied, scenarios that appear remote given the current data and historical patterns.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено65-89 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
90-114 <1%
$1,553,732 Обс.
$1,553,732 Обс.
Jun 6, 2026
<40
No
40-64
No
65-89
Yes
90-114
No
115-139
No
140-164
No
165-189
No
190-214
No
215-239
No
240+
No
65-89 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
90-114 <1%
$1,553,732 Обс.
$1,553,732 Обс.
Jun 6, 2026
<40
$291,054 Обс.
No
40-64
$333,008 Обс.
No
65-89
$294,085 Обс.
Yes
90-114
$386,201 Обс.
No
115-139
$124,283 Обс.
No
140-164
$39,688 Обс.
No
165-189
$42,976 Обс.
No
190-214
$16,094 Обс.
No
215-239
$13,544 Обс.
No
240+
$12,799 Обс.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 4 12:00 PM ET to June 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s verified posting volume on X from June 4–6, 2026, has settled squarely inside the 65–89 range, producing the market’s near-100% implied probability for that bucket. Traders track his account activity in real time, and the observed pace—shaped by ongoing commentary on SpaceX milestones, global news, and platform engagement—has consistently fallen within those parameters without major spikes or lulls. With the window nearly closed, the outcome is treated as effectively settled by direct count rather than speculation. An upset would require a substantial late surge or an unexpected change in how replies and reposts are tallied, scenarios that appear remote given the current data and historical patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 4 12:00 PM ET to June 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 1, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,553,732Дата завершення
Jun 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 1, 2026, 12:06 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 4 12:00 PM ET to June 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s verified posting volume on X from June 4–6, 2026, has settled squarely inside the 65–89 range, producing the market’s near-100% implied probability for that bucket. Traders track his account activity in real time, and the observed pace—shaped by ongoing commentary on SpaceX milestones, global news, and platform engagement—has consistently fallen within those parameters without major spikes or lulls. With the window nearly closed, the outcome is treated as effectively settled by direct count rather than speculation. An upset would require a substantial late surge or an unexpected change in how replies and reposts are tallied, scenarios that appear remote given the current data and historical patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 4 12:00 PM ET to June 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Обсяг
$1,553,732Дата завершення
Jun 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 1, 2026, 12:06 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Elon Musk’s verified posting volume on X from June 4–6, 2026, has settled squarely inside the 65–89 range, producing the market’s near-100% implied probability for that bucket. Traders track his account activity in real time, and the observed pace—shaped by ongoing commentary on SpaceX milestones, global news, and platform engagement—has consistently fallen within those parameters without major spikes or lulls. With the window nearly closed, the outcome is treated as effectively settled by direct count rather than speculation. An upset would require a substantial late surge or an unexpected change in how replies and reposts are tallied, scenarios that appear remote given the current data and historical patterns.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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