Denmark’s newly installed minority coalition government, formed in June 2026 under Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen after the March snap election, faces no immediate parliamentary crisis or confidence threat that would prompt another dissolution before year-end. The four-party arrangement (Social Democrats, Green Left, Moderates, and Social Liberals) is still consolidating support in a fragmented Folketing, with recent polling showing stable vote shares for the largest parties and no bloc positioned to force early polls. Historical precedent in Denmark makes back-to-back snap elections within months of government formation highly unusual. While internal coalition tensions over issues such as migration screening or fiscal policy could surface, or an unforeseen external shock could intervene, traders assign only a 1.4% probability to a call by December 31 given the short timeline and current stability.