Incumbent Rep. Sarah McBride's (D) declared reelection campaign in Delaware's solidly Democratic at-large congressional district drives trader consensus implying over 90% odds for the Democratic Party, reflecting the state's D+8 partisan voting index and McBride's 2024 general election win with 57.9% of the vote. No major developments have occurred in the past 30 days, leaving the race defined by structural advantages like incumbency and historical voting patterns in this safe blue seat. Republican primary entrants—Earl Cooper, Donyale Hall, and Lee Murphy—lack high-profile stature, with the filing deadline July 14 and primary September 15 still months away. Realistic challenges include a surprise strong GOP nominee, McBride scandal or retirement, or a national Republican midterm wave.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоDE-AL House Election Winner
DE-AL House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$629 Обс.
93%
Republican Party
$123 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Sarah McBride's (D) declared reelection campaign in Delaware's solidly Democratic at-large congressional district drives trader consensus implying over 90% odds for the Democratic Party, reflecting the state's D+8 partisan voting index and McBride's 2024 general election win with 57.9% of the vote. No major developments have occurred in the past 30 days, leaving the race defined by structural advantages like incumbency and historical voting patterns in this safe blue seat. Republican primary entrants—Earl Cooper, Donyale Hall, and Lee Murphy—lack high-profile stature, with the filing deadline July 14 and primary September 15 still months away. Realistic challenges include a surprise strong GOP nominee, McBride scandal or retirement, or a national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$752Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Sarah McBride's (D) declared reelection campaign in Delaware's solidly Democratic at-large congressional district drives trader consensus implying over 90% odds for the Democratic Party, reflecting the state's D+8 partisan voting index and McBride's 2024 general election win with 57.9% of the vote. No major developments have occurred in the past 30 days, leaving the race defined by structural advantages like incumbency and historical voting patterns in this safe blue seat. Republican primary entrants—Earl Cooper, Donyale Hall, and Lee Murphy—lack high-profile stature, with the filing deadline July 14 and primary September 15 still months away. Realistic challenges include a surprise strong GOP nominee, McBride scandal or retirement, or a national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$752Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Sarah McBride's (D) declared reelection campaign in Delaware's solidly Democratic at-large congressional district drives trader consensus implying over 90% odds for the Democratic Party, reflecting the state's D+8 partisan voting index and McBride's 2024 general election win with 57.9% of the vote. No major developments have occurred in the past 30 days, leaving the race defined by structural advantages like incumbency and historical voting patterns in this safe blue seat. Republican primary entrants—Earl Cooper, Donyale Hall, and Lee Murphy—lack high-profile stature, with the filing deadline July 14 and primary September 15 still months away. Realistic challenges include a surprise strong GOP nominee, McBride scandal or retirement, or a national Republican midterm wave.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання